Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration indicate Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 likely clustering around 17-19°C, driving the tight race among top market outcomes with 19°C or higher at 31%, 17°C at 24.5%, and 18°C at 23.5%. This reflects a warming trend from southerly winds carrying mild air masses amid light cloud cover, boosting solar insolation over the urban heat island of Wuhan, though model divergence introduces uncertainty—GFS leans cooler at 16-17°C while ICON projects up to 20°C. Historical late-March highs average 16-18°C, but recent observations show above-normal anomalies, tempering bets on sub-16°C outcomes below 20% combined. Traders eye afternoon updates for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 24. März?
19°C oder höher 31%
17°C 24%
18°C 23%
15°C 19%
9°C oder niedriger
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
11%
12°C
12%
13°C
17%
14°C
16%
15°C
19%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
23%
19°C oder höher
31%
19°C oder höher 31%
17°C 24%
18°C 23%
15°C 19%
9°C oder niedriger
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
11%
12°C
12%
13°C
17%
14°C
16%
15°C
19%
16°C
16%
17°C
24%
18°C
23%
19°C oder höher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration indicate Wuhan's highest temperature on March 24 likely clustering around 17-19°C, driving the tight race among top market outcomes with 19°C or higher at 31%, 17°C at 24.5%, and 18°C at 23.5%. This reflects a warming trend from southerly winds carrying mild air masses amid light cloud cover, boosting solar insolation over the urban heat island of Wuhan, though model divergence introduces uncertainty—GFS leans cooler at 16-17°C while ICON projects up to 20°C. Historical late-March highs average 16-18°C, but recent observations show above-normal anomalies, tempering bets on sub-16°C outcomes below 20% combined. Traders eye afternoon updates for resolution-defining peaks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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