Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 72-73°F (21%) as San Francisco's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a building high-pressure ridge over California, promoting subsidence warming and sunnier skies that limit coastal fog intrusion. This setup could push afternoon highs into the low-to-mid 70s, above the March climatological average of 62°F, with model clusters converging around 72°F at SFO airport. Cooler outcomes like 64-65°F (12%) gain traction if diurnal sea breezes strengthen post-noon, while hotter 74-75°F (14%) hinges on persistent offshore flow; uncertainty stems from 12-24 hour forecast divergence in boundary layer winds and cloud cover evolution per NWS guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?
72-73°F 20%
74-75°F 15%
76-77°F 12%
64-65°F 11%
63°F or below
11%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
9%
72-73°F 20%
74-75°F 15%
76-77°F 12%
64-65°F 11%
63°F or below
11%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 72-73°F (21%) as San Francisco's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a building high-pressure ridge over California, promoting subsidence warming and sunnier skies that limit coastal fog intrusion. This setup could push afternoon highs into the low-to-mid 70s, above the March climatological average of 62°F, with model clusters converging around 72°F at SFO airport. Cooler outcomes like 64-65°F (12%) gain traction if diurnal sea breezes strengthen post-noon, while hotter 74-75°F (14%) hinges on persistent offshore flow; uncertainty stems from 12-24 hour forecast divergence in boundary layer winds and cloud cover evolution per NWS guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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