Trader sentiment on Taipei's highest temperature March 27 hinges on the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) ensemble forecasts implying a peak near 22°C, with a razor-thin split between that outcome (28%) and 21°C or cooler (26%) due to lingering effects of a recent cold front. Variable cloud cover from northeast monsoon remnants could suppress afternoon solar heating, limiting diurnal warming from morning lows around 18°C, while light southerly winds might enable marginal rises to 22-23°C. Historical March highs average 22.5°C at Taipei Songshan station, but model uncertainty—evident in ECMWF vs. GFS divergences of 1-2°C—keeps lower bins viable amid potential marine layer persistence. Key watch: CWA's 12Z update today for refined boundary layer projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
22°C 22%
23°C 19%
21°C or below 18%
24°C 16%
$33,199 Vol.
$33,199 Vol.
21°C or below
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
16%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
22°C 22%
23°C 19%
21°C or below 18%
24°C 16%
$33,199 Vol.
$33,199 Vol.
21°C or below
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
16%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Taipei's highest temperature March 27 hinges on the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) ensemble forecasts implying a peak near 22°C, with a razor-thin split between that outcome (28%) and 21°C or cooler (26%) due to lingering effects of a recent cold front. Variable cloud cover from northeast monsoon remnants could suppress afternoon solar heating, limiting diurnal warming from morning lows around 18°C, while light southerly winds might enable marginal rises to 22-23°C. Historical March highs average 22.5°C at Taipei Songshan station, but model uncertainty—evident in ECMWF vs. GFS divergences of 1-2°C—keeps lower bins viable amid potential marine layer persistence. Key watch: CWA's 12Z update today for refined boundary layer projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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