Trader sentiment for Dallas's March 27 high temperature hinges on divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, with GFS ensembles skewing toward 84-88°F under a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas, while ECMWF favors 78-83°F due to potential mid-level cloudiness and weak cold air advection. Current market odds reflect this split, pricing 86°F+ at 20.5% amid GFS's warm bias validated by recent soundings showing drier mid-levels, versus 82-83°F at 19.5% aligning with ECMWF's cooler track record for spring. Observations through March 26 average 5°F above March climatology (typically 72°F highs), but diurnally peaking instability could push extremes; watch 00Z runs for ridge amplitude refinements differentiating these tight bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
86°F or higher 21%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 14%
84-85°F 14%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
21%
86°F or higher 21%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 14%
84-85°F 14%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Dallas's March 27 high temperature hinges on divergent ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, with GFS ensembles skewing toward 84-88°F under a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas, while ECMWF favors 78-83°F due to potential mid-level cloudiness and weak cold air advection. Current market odds reflect this split, pricing 86°F+ at 20.5% amid GFS's warm bias validated by recent soundings showing drier mid-levels, versus 82-83°F at 19.5% aligning with ECMWF's cooler track record for spring. Observations through March 26 average 5°F above March climatology (typically 72°F highs), but diurnally peaking instability could push extremes; watch 00Z runs for ridge amplitude refinements differentiating these tight bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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