Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 82-83°F in Miami at 36% implied probability, closely followed by 84-85°F at 25%, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing a dominant high-pressure ridge over Florida ushering in sunny skies and highs near 83°F on March 28. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours reinforce this outlook, with minimal cloud cover, light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, and sea surface temperatures in the mid-70s°F supporting daytime heating without disruptive fronts. Historical late-March averages hover in the low 80s°F, aligning with current positioning, though minor sea breeze development or isolated cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82°F; watch the 12Z model update Thursday morning for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 28. März?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 14%
73°F oder niedriger
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F oder höher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 14%
73°F oder niedriger
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 82-83°F in Miami at 36% implied probability, closely followed by 84-85°F at 25%, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models showing a dominant high-pressure ridge over Florida ushering in sunny skies and highs near 83°F on March 28. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours reinforce this outlook, with minimal cloud cover, light southeast winds around 5-10 mph, and sea surface temperatures in the mid-70s°F supporting daytime heating without disruptive fronts. Historical late-March averages hover in the low 80s°F, aligning with current positioning, though minor sea breeze development or isolated cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82°F; watch the 12Z model update Thursday morning for potential refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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