Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a high temperature of 22–24°C in Tel Aviv on March 29, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a weak high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering mild spring conditions, with daytime sea breezes capping peaks around 23°C amid partial cloud cover and stable upper-air patterns observed in recent soundings. Differentiation hinges on subtle model variances: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced insolation, while moister scenarios suggest 22°C or below from increased low-level humidity. The Israel Meteorological Service's next advisory, due within 24 hours, could refine these probabilities amid typical March climatology averaging 21°C highs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
22°C 22%
27°C 14%
21°C or below
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
22°C 22%
27°C 14%
21°C or below
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) converge on a high temperature of 22–24°C in Tel Aviv on March 29, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched leading outcomes. This stems from a weak high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean fostering mild spring conditions, with daytime sea breezes capping peaks around 23°C amid partial cloud cover and stable upper-air patterns observed in recent soundings. Differentiation hinges on subtle model variances: drier runs favor 24°C via enhanced insolation, while moister scenarios suggest 22°C or below from increased low-level humidity. The Israel Meteorological Service's next advisory, due within 24 hours, could refine these probabilities amid typical March climatology averaging 21°C highs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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