Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (28.5%) and 24°C (29.0%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF models clustering tightly around 23-25°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This mild late-winter setup, with sea surface temperatures near 18°C moderating coastal highs, contrasts historical March averages of 21°C, while minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds support peaks in the low-to-mid 20s. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon convective heating and urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv, with IMS updates expected soon potentially tipping odds; lower probabilities for extremes reflect suppressed volatility in spring normals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 28. März?
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 29%
19°C 16%
17°C oder darunter
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C oder höher
5%
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 29%
19°C 16%
17°C oder darunter
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (28.5%) and 24°C (29.0%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF models clustering tightly around 23-25°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This mild late-winter setup, with sea surface temperatures near 18°C moderating coastal highs, contrasts historical March averages of 21°C, while minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds support peaks in the low-to-mid 20s. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon convective heating and urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv, with IMS updates expected soon potentially tipping odds; lower probabilities for extremes reflect suppressed volatility in spring normals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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