Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 34°C or below in Lucknow on March 29 at 40% probability, with 35°C (24%) and 36°C (22.5%) close behind, reflecting stable seasonal patterns in the Indo-Gangetic Plain during late March. Recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts project daytime highs around 34-36°C, consistent with the past week's observations averaging 33-35°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that curbs extreme heating. No heatwave alerts have issued, as soil moisture and northerly winds limit intensification potential, aligning with climatological norms where March maxima rarely exceed 37°C without prolonged dry spells. Updated model runs expected tomorrow could refine these odds, given short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 29. März?
34°C oder niedriger 40%
35°C 24%
36°C 20%
37°C 11%
34°C oder niedriger
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
11%
38°C
6%
39°C
5%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
2%
44°C oder höher
1%
34°C oder niedriger 40%
35°C 24%
36°C 20%
37°C 11%
34°C oder niedriger
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
11%
38°C
6%
39°C
5%
40°C
3%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
2%
44°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature of 34°C or below in Lucknow on March 29 at 40% probability, with 35°C (24%) and 36°C (22.5%) close behind, reflecting stable seasonal patterns in the Indo-Gangetic Plain during late March. Recent India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts project daytime highs around 34-36°C, consistent with the past week's observations averaging 33-35°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that curbs extreme heating. No heatwave alerts have issued, as soil moisture and northerly winds limit intensification potential, aligning with climatological norms where March maxima rarely exceed 37°C without prolonged dry spells. Updated model runs expected tomorrow could refine these odds, given short-term forecast uncertainty from evolving atmospheric conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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