Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Madrid's March 23 high temperature near 17.8°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus split between 17°C (31%) and 18°C (30%), with 19°C (22.5%) viable on clearer skies. AEMET updates highlight an incoming Atlantic frontal boundary introducing mid-level clouds and northerly winds, likely suppressing peaks below 19°C by limiting insolation, while urban heat island effects in the city center could nudge toward 18°C over Barajas Airport readings that resolve the market. Historical March 23 averages hover at 17.2°C, but a positive temperature anomaly from persistent Azores High ridging adds modest upside uncertainty ahead of final 00Z model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on March 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 23?
19°C 30%
17°C 29%
18°C 27%
16°C 14%
$12,667 Vol.
$12,667 Vol.
14°C or below
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
20%
17°C
33%
18°C
29%
19°C
24%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 30%
17°C 29%
18°C 27%
16°C 14%
$12,667 Vol.
$12,667 Vol.
14°C or below
2%
15°C
12%
16°C
20%
17°C
33%
18°C
29%
19°C
24%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts pinpoint Madrid's March 23 high temperature near 17.8°C, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus split between 17°C (31%) and 18°C (30%), with 19°C (22.5%) viable on clearer skies. AEMET updates highlight an incoming Atlantic frontal boundary introducing mid-level clouds and northerly winds, likely suppressing peaks below 19°C by limiting insolation, while urban heat island effects in the city center could nudge toward 18°C over Barajas Airport readings that resolve the market. Historical March 23 averages hover at 17.2°C, but a positive temperature anomaly from persistent Azores High ridging adds modest upside uncertainty ahead of final 00Z model runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen