Fed Decision in September?

Politics·Fomc

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

21%

25 bps increase

79%

50+ bps increase

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

JohnA

No matter the result, its an honor to gamble with you fellow degens

Secondary-Mosque

Just added more 😁😁

negoossppe

camel finance if you fucked this up its on you

Polken

wasup from camel crew

NotNiels

First Polymarket bet, Camels, UNITE! (entertainment purposes only)

25 bps increase 79%

No change 21%

50+ bps increase <1%

25 bps decrease <1%

$138M Vol

Monthly

Howard vs. Indiana

Sports·Football·College Football

Howard vs. Indiana

Sports·Football·College Football

Spread

Total

Spread

Total

4:00 PMSeptember 12

$342K Vol

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $105

↓ $95

↓ $90

↓ $85

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

WSJ

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Energy

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

Reuters

・

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

WSJ

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Energy

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

Reuters

・

Oil ends week higher on renewed US-Iran strikes, diesel hits record

WSJ

・

Tight Supply Worries Lift Oil As Middle East Conflict Heats Up

Energy

US strikes 3 Iranian oil tankers after saying warships were targeted with ballistic missiles

↓ $95 84%

↓ $90 63.1%

↑ $105 52.0%

↓ $85 37%

$4M Vol

Monthly

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Up33.33x Down1.03x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Blue31

Waiting for 1min market

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

$12 Vol

Live

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·US Election

Democrats Sweep

50%

D Senate, R House

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

AP News

・

Trump wants to send Americans money. Congress and economists don't seem thrilled with the idea

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

AP News

・

Trump wants to send Americans money. Congress and economists don't seem thrilled with the idea

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

The New York Times

・

Election Officials Grapple With Uncertainty as Supreme Court Considers Mail Ballot Plan

The Washington Post

・

Analysis | How Canada, with elbows up, could hurt Trump in the midterms

Bloomberg.com

・

Trump Headlines Texas Convention to Tap Donors, Rally Voters

AP News

・

Trump wants to send Americans money. Congress and economists don't seem thrilled with the idea

Reuters

・

US Treasury chief Bessent backs using US financial power as foreign policy tool

Democrats Sweep 50%

R Senate, D House 37%

Republicans Sweep 13%

D Senate, R House 1.6%

$12M Vol

Ends Nov 3, 2026·

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Sports·NFL

Los Angeles Rams

14%

Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks

Baltimore Ravens

The New York Times

・

Which players will NFL scouts be watching during Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas showdown?

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

Reuters

・

Shelton stuns Alcaraz in late, late show to reach US Open semis

AP News

・

NFL fans in UK cite ticket prices and 'team fatigue' for unsold seats as London hosts 3 games

WSJ

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

The New York Times

・

Which players will NFL scouts be watching during Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas showdown?

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

Reuters

・

Shelton stuns Alcaraz in late, late show to reach US Open semis

AP News

・

NFL fans in UK cite ticket prices and 'team fatigue' for unsold seats as London hosts 3 games

WSJ

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

The New York Times

・

Which players will NFL scouts be watching during Saturday’s Ohio State-Texas showdown?

BBC

・

NFL 2026 schedule & key fixtures: Start date, play-offs, Super Bowl 61 & Christmas games

Reuters

・

Shelton stuns Alcaraz in late, late show to reach US Open semis

AP News

・

NFL fans in UK cite ticket prices and 'team fatigue' for unsold seats as London hosts 3 games

WSJ

・

Google to Invest $15 Billion in AI Infrastructure in Finland

Los Angeles Rams 15%

Buffalo Bills 9%

Seattle Seahawks 8%

Baltimore Ravens 6.5%

$52M Vol

Ends Feb 14, 2027·

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

September 21

September 30

October 31

December 31

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

washingtonpost.com

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

Reuters

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

washingtonpost.com

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

Reuters

・

Iran warns US energy assets in Gulf are vulnerable after latest clashes

washingtonpost.com

・

Trump accuses Iran of meddling in midterms as wave of missiles targets U.S. base in Jordan

The New York Times

・

Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure

WSJ

・

Exclusive | Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

AP News

・

Iran says it plans to announce a new ‘exclusion zone’ near the Strait of Hormuz

December 31 66.0%

October 31 43%

September 30 23%

September 21 13%

$28M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase

79%

Yes79%No22%

No change

21%

Yes21%No80%

25 bps increase

79%

Yes79%No22%

No change

21%

Yes21%No80%

$138M Vol.

BTC Up or Down 5m

72%

Down

Live

·Bitcoin

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

$15M Vol.

Liverpool

Fulham

Liverpool

DRAW

Fulham

2H - 90'

$3M Vol.

·Premier League

Chelsea

28%

Hull City AFC

Chelsea

DRAW

Hull City

2H - 90'

$2M Vol.

·Premier League

Team Vitality

28%

Movistar KOI

73%

Team

Movistar

Game 2

$942K Vol.

·LoL

HOTU

84%

100 Thieves

17%

HOTU

100 Thieves

Game 2

$359K Vol.

·CS2

G2 NORD

50%

BIG

51%

G2 NORD

BIG

Game 4

$222K Vol.

·LoL

MOUZ

35%

Dawn Bulls

65%

MOUZ

Dawn Bulls

Game 2

$199K Vol.

·Dota 2

Nemiga

74%

26%

Nemiga

Game 3

$155K Vol.

·CS2

Lazio

24%

AC Milan

47%

Lazio

DRAW

AC Milan

$1M Vol.

·Serie A

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Alexander Zverev

58%

Yes58%No42%

Ben Shelton

42%

Yes42%No58%

Alexander Zverev

58%

Yes58%No42%

Ben Shelton

42%

Yes42%No58%

$25M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31

21%

Yes21%No80%

October 31

15%

Yes15%No86%

December 31

21%

Yes21%No80%

October 31

15%

Yes15%No86%

$13M Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.0%

85%

Yes85%No16%

5.1%

67%

Yes67%No33%

5.0%

85%

Yes85%No16%

5.1%

67%

Yes67%No33%

$382K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

December 31, 2026

11%

Yes11%No90%

November 2, 2026

Yes7%No94%

$11K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027

69%

Yes69%No31%

November 30, 2027

67%

Yes67%No34%

December 31, 2027

69%

Yes69%No31%

November 30, 2027

67%

Yes67%No34%

$8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic

96%

Yes96%No5%

Google

Yes3%No98%

Anthropic

96%

Yes96%No5%

Google

Yes3%No98%

$3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson

66%

Yes66%No35%

Ulf Kristersson

34%

Yes34%No67%

Magdalena Andersson

66%

Yes66%No35%

Ulf Kristersson

34%

Yes34%No67%

$6M Vol.

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026

91%

Yes91%No9%

December 15, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

December 31, 2026

91%

Yes91%No9%

December 15, 2026

90%

Yes90%No11%

$3M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31

66%

Yes66%No34%

October 31

43%

Yes43%No58%

December 31

66%

Yes66%No34%

October 31

43%

Yes43%No58%

$28M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%

Yes50%No50%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

Gadi Eizenkot

50%

Yes50%No50%

Benjamin Netanyahu

29%

Yes29%No72%

$37M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

37%

Yes37%No64%

Democrats Sweep

50%

Yes50%No51%

R Senate, D House

37%

Yes37%No64%

$12M Vol.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

23%

Yes23%No78%

Scott Jennings

17%

Yes17%No83%

Anna Kelly

23%

Yes23%No78%

Scott Jennings

17%

Yes17%No83%

$402K Vol.

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes5%No95%

December 31, 2027

19%

Yes19%No82%

December 31, 2026

Yes5%No95%

$612K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31

21%

Yes21%No79%

October 31

Yes8%No93%

December 31

21%

Yes21%No79%

October 31

Yes8%No93%

$7M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

53%

Yes53%No48%

Republican Party

49%

Yes49%No52%

Democratic Party

53%

Yes53%No48%

Republican Party

49%

Yes49%No52%

$4M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

51%

Yes51%No49%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

J.D. Vance

51%

Yes51%No49%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

$704M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 2027

57%

Yes57%No43%

December 31, 2026

38%

Yes38%No63%

March 31, 2027

57%

Yes57%No43%

December 31, 2026

38%

Yes38%No63%

$11M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

$66M Vol.

Anyone's Legend

10%

Invictus Gaming

91%

Anyone's

Invictus

$10M Vol.

·LoL

Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?

70,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

72,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

70,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

72,000

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$1M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

50%

Yes50%No50%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

Yes49%No52%

Flávio Bolsonaro

50%

Yes50%No50%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

49%

Yes49%No52%

$149M Vol.

Villa

Forest

81%

Villa

DRAW

Forest

$1M Vol.

·Premier League

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

35%

Yes35%No65%

Édouard Philippe

29%

Yes29%No72%

Marine Le Pen

35%

Yes35%No65%

Édouard Philippe

29%

Yes29%No72%

$133M Vol.

Missouri

50%

Kansas

50%

Missouri

Kansas

$789K Vol.

·College Football

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

Barcelona

19%

Yes19%No82%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No85%

$32M Vol.

Fed Decision in September?

Howard vs. Indiana

Howard vs. Indiana

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

Bitcoin Up or Down

Bitcoin Up or Down

Liverpool vs. Fulham

Liverpool vs. Fulham

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

BTC Up or Down 5m

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Anthropic IPO by __?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?

Brazil Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Featured markets

All markets

Fed Decision in September?

BTC Up or Down 5m

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Anthropic IPO by __?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?

Brazil Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion