Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Major tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to fears of AI slowdown

Massive tech sell-off wipes $2.5 trillion from the stock market

Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says AI Stumbles Boosted Skepticism

Are We in an A.I. Bubble? We’re About to Find Out.

Apple's new CEO Ternus to face first earnings test as memory costs surge

Major tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to fears of AI slowdown

Massive tech sell-off wipes $2.5 trillion from the stock market

Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says AI Stumbles Boosted Skepticism

Are We in an A.I. Bubble? We’re About to Find Out.

Apple's new CEO Ternus to face first earnings test as memory costs surge

Major tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to fears of AI slowdown

Massive tech sell-off wipes $2.5 trillion from the stock market

Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says AI Stumbles Boosted Skepticism

Are We in an A.I. Bubble? We’re About to Find Out.

Apple's new CEO Ternus to face first earnings test as memory costs surge

June 30, 2027 25%

December 31, 2026 8%

$3M Vol

Ends Jul 1, 2027·

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Susie Wiles

Pete Hegseth

Kristi Noem

Markwayne Mullin

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio tells NYT serving Trump to end of term 'has always been my plan'

Hegseth digs in as confident Democrats plan to go on offense after midterms

After Two Years of Unchecked Power, Trump Faces a Tough New Reality

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio tells NYT serving Trump to end of term 'has always been my plan'

Hegseth digs in as confident Democrats plan to go on offense after midterms

After Two Years of Unchecked Power, Trump Faces a Tough New Reality

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio tells NYT serving Trump to end of term 'has always been my plan'

Hegseth digs in as confident Democrats plan to go on offense after midterms

After Two Years of Unchecked Power, Trump Faces a Tough New Reality

Susie Wiles 44%

Pete Hegseth 43%

Kristi Noem 26%

Markwayne Mullin 23%

$2M Vol

Monthly

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

21%

JD Vance

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Marco Rubio

Here are the Democrats emerging as potential 2028 White House contenders

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Here are the Democrats emerging as potential 2028 White House contenders

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Here are the Democrats emerging as potential 2028 White House contenders

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

Jon Ossoff 21%

JD Vance 18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Marco Rubio 9%

$734M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Magic vs. Suns

Sports·Basketball·NBA

Magic vs. Suns

Sports·Basketball·NBA

Spread

Total

Spread

Total

113

$2M Vol

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

97%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Dustin Darden

<1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

<1%

What’s Next in the Alaska Senate Race Between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan?

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Alaska’s tight Senate race raises questions about Justice Dept.’s next moves

Trump administration bolsters bid to block Alaska Senate certification

What’s Next in the Alaska Senate Race Between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan?

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Alaska’s tight Senate race raises questions about Justice Dept.’s next moves

Trump administration bolsters bid to block Alaska Senate certification

What’s Next in the Alaska Senate Race Between Mary Peltola and Dan Sullivan?

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Alaska’s tight Senate race raises questions about Justice Dept.’s next moves

Trump administration bolsters bid to block Alaska Senate certification

Mary Peltola (D) 97%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 2%

Dustin Darden <1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%

$7M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

November 6

November 8

November 15

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

Exclusive | U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine

Opinion | JD Vance’s stunning act of disloyalty

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

Living in Limbo, Iranians Brace for Trump’s Next Move

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

Exclusive | U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine

Opinion | JD Vance’s stunning act of disloyalty

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

Living in Limbo, Iranians Brace for Trump’s Next Move

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

Exclusive | U.S. Pushes to Restore Russian Gas Sales to Europe Via Ukraine

Opinion | JD Vance’s stunning act of disloyalty

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

Living in Limbo, Iranians Brace for Trump’s Next Move

November 5 99%

November 6 95%

November 8 81%

November 15 59%

$914K Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Here are the Democrats emerging as potential 2028 White House contenders

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

Here are the Democrats emerging as potential 2028 White House contenders

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

Here are the Democrats emerging as potential 2028 White House contenders

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, weighing 2028 runs, rally together in California

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

Jon Ossoff 26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%

Gavin Newsom 13%

Josh Shapiro 4%

$1B Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

June 30, 2027

December 31, 2026

Opinion | Impeachment isn’t on the menu? Yeah, right.

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

What the Democrats’ Sweep of Congress Means for Trump

Hegseth vows to keep fighting from Pentagon, defends Iran war

How Trump is expected to handle being a lame-duck president

Opinion | Impeachment isn’t on the menu? Yeah, right.

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

What the Democrats’ Sweep of Congress Means for Trump

Hegseth vows to keep fighting from Pentagon, defends Iran war

How Trump is expected to handle being a lame-duck president

Opinion | Impeachment isn’t on the menu? Yeah, right.

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

What the Democrats’ Sweep of Congress Means for Trump

Hegseth vows to keep fighting from Pentagon, defends Iran war

How Trump is expected to handle being a lame-duck president

December 31, 2027 57%

June 30, 2027 40%

December 31, 2026 2%

$1M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

66%

No change

34%

25 bps decrease

50+ bps increase

Warsh Fed Should Heed New Zealand's Cautionary Tale

Fed Needs to Implement at Least Two More Rate Increases, Dallas Fed’s Logan Says

Election stiffens the Fed's guardrails, but independence risks remain

Interest rates hiked to 4% in first increase in over three years

Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years

Warsh Fed Should Heed New Zealand's Cautionary Tale

Fed Needs to Implement at Least Two More Rate Increases, Dallas Fed’s Logan Says

Election stiffens the Fed's guardrails, but independence risks remain

Interest rates hiked to 4% in first increase in over three years

Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years

Warsh Fed Should Heed New Zealand's Cautionary Tale

Fed Needs to Implement at Least Two More Rate Increases, Dallas Fed’s Logan Says

Election stiffens the Fed's guardrails, but independence risks remain

Interest rates hiked to 4% in first increase in over three years

Bank of England Raises Rates for First Time in Three Years

25 bps increase 66%

No change 34%

25 bps decrease 1%

50+ bps increase 1%

$15M Vol

Monthly

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic

Republican

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

Democrats’ Midterm Victory Shakes Up 2028 Electoral Map

Democratic 68%

Republican 33%

$3M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up1.4x Down200x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

$16M Vol

Live

All markets

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 2027

25%

December 31, 2026

Yes8%No92%

June 30, 2027

25%

December 31, 2026

Yes8%No92%

$3M Vol.

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

72%

Down

Live

ANTAnthropic Pre-IPO

$1,689.1-9.60%10xPerps

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Susie Wiles

44%

Yes44%No57%

Pete Hegseth

43%

Yes43%No57%

Susie Wiles

44%

Yes44%No57%

Pete Hegseth

43%

Yes43%No57%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Magic

Suns

100%

Magic

Suns

$2M Vol.

·NBA

Heat

41%

Warriors

60%

Heat

Warriors

$2M Vol.

·NBA

UTSA

Florida Atlantic

100%

UTSA

Florida

$1M Vol.

·College Football

$500K rewards

LoL Worlds
Odds & Predictions

PARIVISION

30%

Natus Vincere

71%

PARIVISION

Natus

$479K Vol.

·CS2

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

21%

Yes21%No80%

JD Vance

18%

Yes18%No82%

Jon Ossoff

21%

Yes21%No80%

JD Vance

18%

Yes18%No82%

$734M Vol.

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 6

95%

Yes95%No6%

November 5

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 6

95%

Yes95%No6%

NEW

$914K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

97%

Yes97%No3%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Mary Peltola (D)

97%

Yes97%No3%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

$7M Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Scott Colom (D)

98%

Yes98%No2%

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

$6M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

63%

Yes63%No37%

Benjamin Netanyahu

23%

Yes23%No77%

Gadi Eizenkot

63%

Yes63%No37%

Benjamin Netanyahu

23%

Yes23%No77%

$88M Vol.

Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?

November 14

69%

Yes69%No32%

November 12

35%

Yes35%No66%

November 14

69%

Yes69%No32%

November 12

35%

Yes35%No66%

NEW

$19K Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

66%

Yes66%No35%

No change

34%

Yes34%No67%

25 bps increase

66%

Yes66%No35%

No change

34%

Yes34%No67%

$15M Vol.

Monthly

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

44%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

57%

Yes57%No43%

June 30, 2027

40%

Yes40%No60%

December 31, 2027

57%

Yes57%No43%

June 30, 2027

40%

Yes40%No60%

$1M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.5–$1.75T

28%

Yes28%No72%

$1.25–$1.5T

21%

Yes21%No79%

$1.5–$1.75T

28%

Yes28%No72%

$1.25–$1.5T

21%

Yes21%No79%

$4M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%

Yes26%No74%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%

Yes17%No83%

Jon Ossoff

26%

Yes26%No74%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

17%

Yes17%No83%

$1B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

38%

Yes38%No62%

Marco Rubio

20%

Yes20%No80%

J.D. Vance

38%

Yes38%No62%

Marco Rubio

20%

Yes20%No80%

$729M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 3

100%

November 4

100%

November 3

100%

November 4

100%

$47M Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)

77%

Yes77%No23%

Greg Murphy (R)

24%

Yes24%No76%

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)

77%

Yes77%No23%

Greg Murphy (R)

24%

Yes24%No76%

$1M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

96%

96%

$916K Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

chance

Yes

$588K Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

70%

Yes70%No31%

December 31

41%

Yes41%No59%

March 31

70%

Yes70%No31%

December 31

41%

Yes41%No59%

$48M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

44%

Yes44%No56%

David Lisnard

15%

Yes15%No85%

Marine Le Pen

44%

Yes44%No56%

David Lisnard

15%

Yes15%No85%

$167M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31

37%

Yes37%No64%

November 30

18%

Yes18%No83%

December 31

37%

Yes37%No64%

November 30

18%

Yes18%No83%

$4M Vol.

Dplus KIA

Bilibili Gaming

100%

Dplus KIA

Bilibili

$19M Vol.

·LoL

Jaguars

100%

Ravens

Jaguars

Ravens

$7M Vol.

·NFL

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31

100%

November 2

100%

October 31

100%

November 2

100%

$42M Vol.

Monthly

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 70,000

54%

↓ 65,000

33%

Yes33%No68%

↓ 70,000

54%

↓ 65,000

33%

Yes33%No68%

$82M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Monthly

Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?

68,000

100%

70,000

99%

Yes99%No1%

68,000

100%

70,000

99%

Yes99%No1%

$950K Vol.

·Bitcoin

Weekly

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

24%

Yes24%No77%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%

Yes19%No82%

Barcelona

24%

Yes24%No77%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%

Yes19%No82%

$69M Vol.

Worlds 2026: Winner

Gen.G

54%

Bilibili Gaming

25%

Gen.G

54%

Bilibili Gaming

25%