Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

21%

chance

$28m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

52%

chance

$2m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

36%

January 23

46%

January 18

36%

January 23

46%

$42m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

31%

chance

$3m Vol.

Nets

9%

Pelicans

91%

End Q4

$4m Vol.

•NBA

Knicks

72%

Kings

28%

Q1 - 05:53

$3m Vol.

•NBA

Golden Knights

54%

Kings

47%

P1 - 20:00

$1m Vol.

•NHL

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$9m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

41%

chance

$10m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

21%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

21%

$674m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

67%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

António José Seguro (IND)

67%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

$104m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

12%

chance

$96k Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

5%

May 14

10%

March 31

5%

May 14

10%

$379k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

30%

Kristi Noem

14%

Pam Bondi

30%

Kristi Noem

14%

$884k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

36%

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

36%

$185m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 15

13%

January 16

9%

January 15

13%

January 16

9%

$3m Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

72%

chance

$455k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

99%

>$5m

99%

>$4m

99%

>$5m

99%

$5m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$344m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

28%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$187m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

41%

chance

$6m Vol.

US strike on Mexico by...? card icon

US strike on Mexico by...?

January 31

4%

March 31

11%

January 31

4%

March 31

11%

$1m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in January? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

↑ 110,000

8%

↑ 105,000

24%

↑ 110,000

8%

↑ 105,000

24%

$32m Vol.

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