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预测与赔率

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Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

51%

$25.7K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

9

Ends 13 天内

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

9%

$567 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

Ends 6 个月内

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

15%

$604 交易量

$534 Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

94%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M 交易量

$291K Liq.

281

Ends 超过 1 年内

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

3%

$271K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

11

Ends 13 天内

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

People's Sexiest Man Alive 2026

24%

Michael B. Jordan

$106K 交易量

$19.7K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs

LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs

73%

G2 NORD

$30 交易量

$16.4K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

49%

$52.3K 交易量

$37 Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

125

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

33

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K 交易量

$14.8K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$39.7K Liq.

1,035

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.3K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

10

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

62%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K 交易量

$426 Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

<1%

$125K 交易量

$9.8K Liq.

6

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K 交易量

17

Ends 30 天前

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

76%

↓ $74

$390K 交易量

$160K Liq.

1

Ends 14 天内

Ted Cruz # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

29%

100-119

$431 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 9 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 性 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 111 个活跃的 性 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $14.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What will SpaceX's public ticker be?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What will SpaceX's public ticker be?",市场目前认为 Other (incl $SPCX) 的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 性 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。