Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94% implied probability for Justin Aguiar, the Toronto-based content creator and dating coach known as "Drunk Justin," facing conviction on sexual assault charges before 2027, reflecting stalled legal proceedings since his November 2025 arrest for an alleged August 2024 incident. Court backlogs, which led to prior similar charges against him being withdrawn, continue to delay any trial, with no public updates on hearings or pleas as of late March 2026 despite women coming forward in media interviews. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores Canadian judicial timelines in sexual assault cases, though a surprise fast-tracked trial or guilty plea could spark an upset shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Justin Aguiar在2027年之前被判犯有性侵犯罪？
Justin Aguiar在2027年之前被判犯有性侵犯罪？
是
$52,149 交易量
$52,149 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$52,149 交易量
$52,149 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94% implied probability for Justin Aguiar, the Toronto-based content creator and dating coach known as "Drunk Justin," facing conviction on sexual assault charges before 2027, reflecting stalled legal proceedings since his November 2025 arrest for an alleged August 2024 incident. Court backlogs, which led to prior similar charges against him being withdrawn, continue to delay any trial, with no public updates on hearings or pleas as of late March 2026 despite women coming forward in media interviews. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores Canadian judicial timelines in sexual assault cases, though a surprise fast-tracked trial or guilty plea could spark an upset shift.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$52,149结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94% implied probability for Justin Aguiar, the Toronto-based content creator and dating coach known as "Drunk Justin," facing conviction on sexual assault charges before 2027, reflecting stalled legal proceedings since his November 2025 arrest for an alleged August 2024 incident. Court backlogs, which led to prior similar charges against him being withdrawn, continue to delay any trial, with no public updates on hearings or pleas as of late March 2026 despite women coming forward in media interviews. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores Canadian judicial timelines in sexual assault cases, though a surprise fast-tracked trial or guilty plea could spark an upset shift.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$52,149结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 94% implied probability for Justin Aguiar, the Toronto-based content creator and dating coach known as "Drunk Justin," facing conviction on sexual assault charges before 2027, reflecting stalled legal proceedings since his November 2025 arrest for an alleged August 2024 incident. Court backlogs, which led to prior similar charges against him being withdrawn, continue to delay any trial, with no public updates on hearings or pleas as of late March 2026 despite women coming forward in media interviews. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores Canadian judicial timelines in sexual assault cases, though a surprise fast-tracked trial or guilty plea could spark an upset shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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