Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no official confirmation by end of 2026 (75%) for the sender of the anonymous "I beat Bush" email from unsealed Jeffrey Epstein court documents in the Giuffre-Maxwell case, reflecting persistent uncertainty despite months of online speculation linking it to the 2016 Republican presidential primary where Jeb Bush faltered. Gwendolyn Beck leads alternative outcomes at 18% amid unverified claims tying her GOP activism to the boast, followed by Ben Carson (13.4%) for his competitive primary run. Marco Rubio (8.3%) benefits from his Florida primary victory over Bush, while Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) draw odds from their anti-Bush stances that year. No major developments, such as new document releases or admissions, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年未被披露 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 18%
Ben Carson 11.5%
Marco Rubio 7.3%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
2026年未被披露
75%
Gwendolyn Beck
18%
Ben Carson
12%
Marco Rubio
7%
Ted Cruz
4%
Donald Trump
3%
Rand Paul
2%
2026年未被披露 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 18%
Ben Carson 11.5%
Marco Rubio 7.3%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
2026年未被披露
$0 交易量
75%
Gwendolyn Beck
$0 交易量
18%
Ben Carson
$0 交易量
12%
Marco Rubio
$0 交易量
7%
Ted Cruz
$0 交易量
4%
Donald Trump
$0 交易量
3%
Rand Paul
$0 交易量
2%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no official confirmation by end of 2026 (75%) for the sender of the anonymous "I beat Bush" email from unsealed Jeffrey Epstein court documents in the Giuffre-Maxwell case, reflecting persistent uncertainty despite months of online speculation linking it to the 2016 Republican presidential primary where Jeb Bush faltered. Gwendolyn Beck leads alternative outcomes at 18% amid unverified claims tying her GOP activism to the boast, followed by Ben Carson (13.4%) for his competitive primary run. Marco Rubio (8.3%) benefits from his Florida primary victory over Bush, while Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) draw odds from their anti-Bush stances that year. No major developments, such as new document releases or admissions, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift probabilities.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no official confirmation by end of 2026 (75%) for the sender of the anonymous "I beat Bush" email from unsealed Jeffrey Epstein court documents in the Giuffre-Maxwell case, reflecting persistent uncertainty despite months of online speculation linking it to the 2016 Republican presidential primary where Jeb Bush faltered. Gwendolyn Beck leads alternative outcomes at 18% amid unverified claims tying her GOP activism to the boast, followed by Ben Carson (13.4%) for his competitive primary run. Marco Rubio (8.3%) benefits from his Florida primary victory over Bush, while Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) draw odds from their anti-Bush stances that year. No major developments, such as new document releases or admissions, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift probabilities.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no official confirmation by end of 2026 (75%) for the sender of the anonymous "I beat Bush" email from unsealed Jeffrey Epstein court documents in the Giuffre-Maxwell case, reflecting persistent uncertainty despite months of online speculation linking it to the 2016 Republican presidential primary where Jeb Bush faltered. Gwendolyn Beck leads alternative outcomes at 18% amid unverified claims tying her GOP activism to the boast, followed by Ben Carson (13.4%) for his competitive primary run. Marco Rubio (8.3%) benefits from his Florida primary victory over Bush, while Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (2.9%), and Rand Paul (2.2%) draw odds from their anti-Bush stances that year. No major developments, such as new document releases or admissions, have emerged in the past 30 days to shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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