Trader consensus heavily favors no identification of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by end of 2026 at 75%, reflecting the absence of confirmation despite multiple rounds of unsealed Jeffrey Epstein documents in 2024, including court-ordered releases that failed to pinpoint the anonymous communicator. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% as the leading alternative amid online speculation tying her to Epstein social circles and Republican rivalries against Bush allies, though no primary evidence has emerged. Lower odds on Marco Rubio (10%), Ben Carson (9%), Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (3%), and Rand Paul (2%) stem from loose associations with 2016 GOP primary successes over Jeb Bush, but evidentiary gaps and institutional opacity in Epstein file disclosures sustain skepticism. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted probabilities, with traders eyeing potential future leaks or investigations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年未被披露 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 18%
Marco Rubio 15.0%
Ben Carson 9.0%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
2026年未被披露
75%
Gwendolyn Beck
18%
Marco Rubio
10%
Ben Carson
9%
Ted Cruz
4%
Donald Trump
3%
Rand Paul
2%
2026年未被披露 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 18%
Marco Rubio 15.0%
Ben Carson 9.0%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
2026年未被披露
$0 交易量
75%
Gwendolyn Beck
$0 交易量
18%
Marco Rubio
$0 交易量
10%
Ben Carson
$0 交易量
9%
Ted Cruz
$0 交易量
4%
Donald Trump
$0 交易量
3%
Rand Paul
$0 交易量
2%
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no identification of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by end of 2026 at 75%, reflecting the absence of confirmation despite multiple rounds of unsealed Jeffrey Epstein documents in 2024, including court-ordered releases that failed to pinpoint the anonymous communicator. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% as the leading alternative amid online speculation tying her to Epstein social circles and Republican rivalries against Bush allies, though no primary evidence has emerged. Lower odds on Marco Rubio (10%), Ben Carson (9%), Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (3%), and Rand Paul (2%) stem from loose associations with 2016 GOP primary successes over Jeb Bush, but evidentiary gaps and institutional opacity in Epstein file disclosures sustain skepticism. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted probabilities, with traders eyeing potential future leaks or investigations.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no identification of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by end of 2026 at 75%, reflecting the absence of confirmation despite multiple rounds of unsealed Jeffrey Epstein documents in 2024, including court-ordered releases that failed to pinpoint the anonymous communicator. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% as the leading alternative amid online speculation tying her to Epstein social circles and Republican rivalries against Bush allies, though no primary evidence has emerged. Lower odds on Marco Rubio (10%), Ben Carson (9%), Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (3%), and Rand Paul (2%) stem from loose associations with 2016 GOP primary successes over Jeb Bush, but evidentiary gaps and institutional opacity in Epstein file disclosures sustain skepticism. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted probabilities, with traders eyeing potential future leaks or investigations.
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no identification of the "I beat Bush" Epstein email sender by end of 2026 at 75%, reflecting the absence of confirmation despite multiple rounds of unsealed Jeffrey Epstein documents in 2024, including court-ordered releases that failed to pinpoint the anonymous communicator. Gwendolyn Beck holds 18% as the leading alternative amid online speculation tying her to Epstein social circles and Republican rivalries against Bush allies, though no primary evidence has emerged. Lower odds on Marco Rubio (10%), Ben Carson (9%), Ted Cruz (4%), Donald Trump (3%), and Rand Paul (2%) stem from loose associations with 2016 GOP primary successes over Jeb Bush, but evidentiary gaps and institutional opacity in Epstein file disclosures sustain skepticism. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted probabilities, with traders eyeing potential future leaks or investigations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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