Republican control of both the House and Senate forms the primary barrier to impeaching President Trump by December 31, 2026, driving the 87.5% "No" trader consensus as no House majority exists to advance articles and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority. In early April, Rep. John Larson filed H.Res. 939 with 13 articles alleging usurpation of congressional war powers amid Iran threats, while some Democrats invoked the 25th Amendment, but leadership swiftly quashed efforts to avoid midterm distractions. No floor votes or committee actions followed, underscoring partisan realities. November 2026 midterms represent the key risk for House flips, though Senate math and historical acquittal precedents limit conviction odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$692,396 Vol.
$692,396 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$692,396 Vol.
$692,396 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of both the House and Senate forms the primary barrier to impeaching President Trump by December 31, 2026, driving the 87.5% "No" trader consensus as no House majority exists to advance articles and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority. In early April, Rep. John Larson filed H.Res. 939 with 13 articles alleging usurpation of congressional war powers amid Iran threats, while some Democrats invoked the 25th Amendment, but leadership swiftly quashed efforts to avoid midterm distractions. No floor votes or committee actions followed, underscoring partisan realities. November 2026 midterms represent the key risk for House flips, though Senate math and historical acquittal precedents limit conviction odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$692,396End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of both the House and Senate forms the primary barrier to impeaching President Trump by December 31, 2026, driving the 87.5% "No" trader consensus as no House majority exists to advance articles and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority. In early April, Rep. John Larson filed H.Res. 939 with 13 articles alleging usurpation of congressional war powers amid Iran threats, while some Democrats invoked the 25th Amendment, but leadership swiftly quashed efforts to avoid midterm distractions. No floor votes or committee actions followed, underscoring partisan realities. November 2026 midterms represent the key risk for House flips, though Senate math and historical acquittal precedents limit conviction odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$692,396End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of both the House and Senate forms the primary barrier to impeaching President Trump by December 31, 2026, driving the 87.5% "No" trader consensus as no House majority exists to advance articles and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds supermajority. In early April, Rep. John Larson filed H.Res. 939 with 13 articles alleging usurpation of congressional war powers amid Iran threats, while some Democrats invoked the 25th Amendment, but leadership swiftly quashed efforts to avoid midterm distractions. No floor votes or committee actions followed, underscoring partisan realities. November 2026 midterms represent the key risk for House flips, though Senate math and historical acquittal precedents limit conviction odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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