Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 95% to win Wyoming's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—marked by a 23-year Republican trifecta, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 29-2, House 56-6), and no Democratic statewide victory since 2006. Term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's exit has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (Trump-endorsed frontrunner), Sen. Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien, while Democrat Gabriel Green and independent Joseph Kibler trail in a solidly red R+23 state where GOP gubernatorial winners have averaged 67% over five cycles. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing the GOP nominee post-primary or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents make these low-probability events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,027 交易量
95%
民主党
$1,359 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 95% to win Wyoming's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—marked by a 23-year Republican trifecta, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 29-2, House 56-6), and no Democratic statewide victory since 2006. Term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's exit has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (Trump-endorsed frontrunner), Sen. Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien, while Democrat Gabriel Green and independent Joseph Kibler trail in a solidly red R+23 state where GOP gubernatorial winners have averaged 67% over five cycles. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing the GOP nominee post-primary or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents make these low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$3,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 95% to win Wyoming's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—marked by a 23-year Republican trifecta, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 29-2, House 56-6), and no Democratic statewide victory since 2006. Term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's exit has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (Trump-endorsed frontrunner), Sen. Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien, while Democrat Gabriel Green and independent Joseph Kibler trail in a solidly red R+23 state where GOP gubernatorial winners have averaged 67% over five cycles. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing the GOP nominee post-primary or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents make these low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$3,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 95% to win Wyoming's open-seat gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—marked by a 23-year Republican trifecta, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 29-2, House 56-6), and no Democratic statewide victory since 2006. Term-limited Gov. Mark Gordon's exit has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (Trump-endorsed frontrunner), Sen. Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien, while Democrat Gabriel Green and independent Joseph Kibler trail in a solidly red R+23 state where GOP gubernatorial winners have averaged 67% over five cycles. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing the GOP nominee post-primary or an unprecedented surge in Democratic turnout, though historical precedents make these low-probability events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
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