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Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Market icon

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

72% 概率
Polymarket
最新
72% 概率
Polymarket
最新
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov confirmed on February 4, 2026, that President Vladimir Putin accepted President Xi Jinping's invitation for an official visit to China in the first half of 2026 during their videoconference, where both leaders outlined a "grand plan" to deepen bilateral ties amid global tensions. Recent reports from the South China Morning Post, emerging in late March, indicate Putin may travel shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump's planned May trip to Beijing, aligning with the May 31 deadline and reflecting strengthened Russia-China strategic coordination on issues like Ukraine and trade. Traders price "Yes" at 73% based on this official commitment and narrowing timeline, though no firm dates have been announced, leaving room for scheduling shifts due to diplomatic priorities or security concerns.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,000
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov confirmed on February 4, 2026, that President Vladimir Putin accepted President Xi Jinping's invitation for an official visit to China in the first half of 2026 during their videoconference, where both leaders outlined a "grand plan" to deepen bilateral ties amid global tensions. Recent reports from the South China Morning Post, emerging in late March, indicate Putin may travel shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump's planned May trip to Beijing, aligning with the May 31 deadline and reflecting strengthened Russia-China strategic coordination on issues like Ukraine and trade. Traders price "Yes" at 73% based on this official commitment and narrowing timeline, though no firm dates have been announced, leaving room for scheduling shifts due to diplomatic priorities or security concerns.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,000
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Putin visit China by May 31?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 72%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 72¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Putin visit China by May 31?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will Putin visit China by May 31?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Putin visit China by May 31?"的当前概率为 72%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 72%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Putin visit China by May 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。