Michigan voters face a closely contested ballot question on calling a constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution, reflected in trader consensus pricing Yes at 52.5%. Recent polling averages show a narrow Yes lead amid polarized views, driven by Republican-led pushes for reforms on taxes, redistricting, and abortion restrictions following Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, contrasted by Democratic warnings of risks to voting rights and environmental protections enshrined in recent amendments. Urban turnout in Detroit and battleground suburbs versus rural conservative mobilization will be pivotal; no major shifts in the past week, but late endorsements, October surprises, or shifts in early voting could tip the balance as the November election approaches. Historical voter rejections of conventions (e.g., 1978) add caution to trader odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face a closely contested ballot question on calling a constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution, reflected in trader consensus pricing Yes at 52.5%. Recent polling averages show a narrow Yes lead amid polarized views, driven by Republican-led pushes for reforms on taxes, redistricting, and abortion restrictions following Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, contrasted by Democratic warnings of risks to voting rights and environmental protections enshrined in recent amendments. Urban turnout in Detroit and battleground suburbs versus rural conservative mobilization will be pivotal; no major shifts in the past week, but late endorsements, October surprises, or shifts in early voting could tip the balance as the November election approaches. Historical voter rejections of conventions (e.g., 1978) add caution to trader odds.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$6,000结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters face a closely contested ballot question on calling a constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution, reflected in trader consensus pricing Yes at 52.5%. Recent polling averages show a narrow Yes lead amid polarized views, driven by Republican-led pushes for reforms on taxes, redistricting, and abortion restrictions following Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, contrasted by Democratic warnings of risks to voting rights and environmental protections enshrined in recent amendments. Urban turnout in Detroit and battleground suburbs versus rural conservative mobilization will be pivotal; no major shifts in the past week, but late endorsements, October surprises, or shifts in early voting could tip the balance as the November election approaches. Historical voter rejections of conventions (e.g., 1978) add caution to trader odds.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
交易量
$6,000结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters face a closely contested ballot question on calling a constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution, reflected in trader consensus pricing Yes at 52.5%. Recent polling averages show a narrow Yes lead amid polarized views, driven by Republican-led pushes for reforms on taxes, redistricting, and abortion restrictions following Democratic supermajorities in the legislature, contrasted by Democratic warnings of risks to voting rights and environmental protections enshrined in recent amendments. Urban turnout in Detroit and battleground suburbs versus rural conservative mobilization will be pivotal; no major shifts in the past week, but late endorsements, October surprises, or shifts in early voting could tip the balance as the November election approaches. Historical voter rejections of conventions (e.g., 1978) add caution to trader odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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