Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its structural dominance in the 225 single-member districts alongside a leading position in proportional party-list polls from FOM and WCIOM conducted mid-to-late March, where it garnered 29-55% support despite a roughly 10% decline linked to rising food and utility prices. New People has risen to second in some surveys at 10-14%, positioning it as a pro-Kremlin contender amid Kremlin efforts to boost United Russia's image through propaganda on social initiatives and veteran nominations. Systemic opposition like LDPR and KPRF trail at 8-14%, with others below 5% threshold; redistricting and electronic voting expansions favor incumbents ahead of the parallel voting system resolving 450 seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 67%
新人民党（NL） 20.5%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 7.0%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,414,157 交易量
$4,414,157 交易量
Sep 30, 2026
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
67%
新人民党（NL）
20%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
7%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 67%
新人民党（NL） 20.5%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 7.0%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,414,157 交易量
$4,414,157 交易量
Sep 30, 2026
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$1,229,337 交易量
67%
新人民党（NL）
$278,182 交易量
20%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,037,425 交易量
7%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$256,321 交易量
1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$226,929 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$196,195 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$189,767 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its structural dominance in the 225 single-member districts alongside a leading position in proportional party-list polls from FOM and WCIOM conducted mid-to-late March, where it garnered 29-55% support despite a roughly 10% decline linked to rising food and utility prices. New People has risen to second in some surveys at 10-14%, positioning it as a pro-Kremlin contender amid Kremlin efforts to boost United Russia's image through propaganda on social initiatives and veteran nominations. Systemic opposition like LDPR and KPRF trail at 8-14%, with others below 5% threshold; redistricting and electronic voting expansions favor incumbents ahead of the parallel voting system resolving 450 seats.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$4,414,157结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its structural dominance in the 225 single-member districts alongside a leading position in proportional party-list polls from FOM and WCIOM conducted mid-to-late March, where it garnered 29-55% support despite a roughly 10% decline linked to rising food and utility prices. New People has risen to second in some surveys at 10-14%, positioning it as a pro-Kremlin contender amid Kremlin efforts to boost United Russia's image through propaganda on social initiatives and veteran nominations. Systemic opposition like LDPR and KPRF trail at 8-14%, with others below 5% threshold; redistricting and electronic voting expansions favor incumbents ahead of the parallel voting system resolving 450 seats.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$4,414,157结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its structural dominance in the 225 single-member districts alongside a leading position in proportional party-list polls from FOM and WCIOM conducted mid-to-late March, where it garnered 29-55% support despite a roughly 10% decline linked to rising food and utility prices. New People has risen to second in some surveys at 10-14%, positioning it as a pro-Kremlin contender amid Kremlin efforts to boost United Russia's image through propaganda on social initiatives and veteran nominations. Systemic opposition like LDPR and KPRF trail at 8-14%, with others below 5% threshold; redistricting and electronic voting expansions favor incumbents ahead of the parallel voting system resolving 450 seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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