PQ maintains its position as the frontrunner in the October 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent leads or statistical ties in recent polling at 28-32% support, driven by strong backing among Francophone voters and favorable seat projections from models such as 338Canada that favor the party's vote distribution. The PLQ remains competitive in a tightening three-way race, particularly among non-Francophone voters, while the CAQ has shown modest gains following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. These dynamics align with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, amid a campaign still several months from election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 61%
魁北克自由党 25%
魁人党 16%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$532,379 交易量
$532,379 交易量

魁人党
61%

魁北克自由党
25%

魁人党
16%

魁北克保守党
<1%

魁团
<1%

魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 61%
魁北克自由党 25%
魁人党 16%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$532,379 交易量
$532,379 交易量

魁人党
61%

魁北克自由党
25%

魁人党
16%

魁北克保守党
<1%

魁团
<1%

魁北克绿党
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...PQ maintains its position as the frontrunner in the October 2026 Quebec general election due to consistent leads or statistical ties in recent polling at 28-32% support, driven by strong backing among Francophone voters and favorable seat projections from models such as 338Canada that favor the party's vote distribution. The PLQ remains competitive in a tightening three-way race, particularly among non-Francophone voters, while the CAQ has shown modest gains following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. These dynamics align with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, amid a campaign still several months from election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题