Recent polling from May 2026 shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a statistical tie or narrow PQ edge at 28-32% support, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to 15-20% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's resignation. Trader consensus assigns PQ the highest probability due to favorable seat projections from models like 338Canada, reflecting the party's strength among Francophone voters and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor it for a National Assembly majority. The election is set for October 5, 2026, with no major shifts reported in the past week beyond stable polling trends and ongoing CAQ leadership transition effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 61%
魁北克自由党 25%
魁人党 16%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$532,353 交易量
$532,353 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
61%
魁北克自由党
25%
魁人党
16%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁人党 61%
魁北克自由党 25%
魁人党 16%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$532,353 交易量
$532,353 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$55,089 交易量
61%
魁北克自由党
$57,734 交易量
25%
魁人党
$63,800 交易量
16%
魁北克保守党
$165,430 交易量
<1%
魁团
$69,140 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$121,160 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from May 2026 shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a statistical tie or narrow PQ edge at 28-32% support, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to 15-20% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's resignation. Trader consensus assigns PQ the highest probability due to favorable seat projections from models like 338Canada, reflecting the party's strength among Francophone voters and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor it for a National Assembly majority. The election is set for October 5, 2026, with no major shifts reported in the past week beyond stable polling trends and ongoing CAQ leadership transition effects.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$532,353结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from May 2026 shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a statistical tie or narrow PQ edge at 28-32% support, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to 15-20% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's resignation. Trader consensus assigns PQ the highest probability due to favorable seat projections from models like 338Canada, reflecting the party's strength among Francophone voters and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor it for a National Assembly majority. The election is set for October 5, 2026, with no major shifts reported in the past week beyond stable polling trends and ongoing CAQ leadership transition effects.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$532,353结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from May 2026 shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a statistical tie or narrow PQ edge at 28-32% support, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding to 15-20% under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault's resignation. Trader consensus assigns PQ the highest probability due to favorable seat projections from models like 338Canada, reflecting the party's strength among Francophone voters and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor it for a National Assembly majority. The election is set for October 5, 2026, with no major shifts reported in the past week beyond stable polling trends and ongoing CAQ leadership transition effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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