Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于魁人党 67%
魁北克自由党 26%
魁人党 9%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$481,535 交易量
$481,535 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
67%
魁北克自由党
26%
魁人党
9%
魁北克保守党
<1%
魁北克绿党
<1%
魁团
<1%
魁人党 67%
魁北克自由党 26%
魁人党 9%
魁北克保守党 <1%
$481,535 交易量
$481,535 交易量
2026-10-05
魁人党
$50,432 交易量
67%
魁北克自由党
$55,316 交易量
26%
魁人党
$55,340 交易量
9%
魁北克保守党
$153,582 交易量
<1%
魁北克绿党
$112,853 交易量
<1%
魁团
$54,013 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$481,535结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$481,535结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Liaison Strategies (April 27, released May 5), show the Parti Québécois (PQ) tied with the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) at 32% vote intentions, ahead of Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) at 16%, as the race tightens five months before the October 5 deadline. Aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125 project PQ securing a majority (64 seats) due to regional strength among francophones in Quebec City, Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, and outer regions, where first-past-the-post amplifies their support despite PLQ leads in Montreal. CAQ languishes post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April leadership win, lacking recovery. Trader consensus prices PQ's path to most seats at 66.5%, reflecting simulation models' emphasis on vote efficiency over raw popular support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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