Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois maintains the strongest trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, supported by the party’s sustained lead in recent voting-intention surveys and repeated by-election gains among francophone voters. Recent polls show the PQ and Liberals under new leader Charles Milliard running neck-and-neck at roughly 28–32 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding modestly since Christine Fréchette succeeded François Legault as premier and party leader in April. These shifts have narrowed but not erased the PQ’s edge, while the Liberals’ improved positioning and the CAQ’s incumbency advantage keep Milliard and Fréchette as the clearest alternatives in the implied probabilities. Minor-party candidates trail with negligible support in both polling and market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 59%
Charles Milliard 25%
Christine Fréchette 13.0%
Bernard Drainville 3.0%
$44,398 交易量
$44,398 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
59%
Charles Milliard
25%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Bernard Drainville
3%
Sol Zanetti
1%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 59%
Charles Milliard 25%
Christine Fréchette 13.0%
Bernard Drainville 3.0%
$44,398 交易量
$44,398 交易量
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
59%
Charles Milliard
25%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Bernard Drainville
3%
Sol Zanetti
1%
Éric Duhaime
1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois maintains the strongest trader consensus for Quebec’s next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, supported by the party’s sustained lead in recent voting-intention surveys and repeated by-election gains among francophone voters. Recent polls show the PQ and Liberals under new leader Charles Milliard running neck-and-neck at roughly 28–32 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rebounding modestly since Christine Fréchette succeeded François Legault as premier and party leader in April. These shifts have narrowed but not erased the PQ’s edge, while the Liberals’ improved positioning and the CAQ’s incumbency advantage keep Milliard and Fréchette as the clearest alternatives in the implied probabilities. Minor-party candidates trail with negligible support in both polling and market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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