Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年前没有选举 78%
瓦达尼 12%
库尔米耶 5.5%
正义与福利党（UCID） 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
2027年前没有选举
78%
瓦达尼
12%
库尔米耶
5%
正义与福利党（UCID）
4%
2027年前没有选举 78%
瓦达尼 12%
库尔米耶 5.5%
正义与福利党（UCID） 3.9%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
2027年前没有选举
$2,988 交易量
78%
瓦达尼
$1,463 交易量
12%
库尔米耶
$1,263 交易量
5%
正义与福利党（UCID）
$2,966 交易量
4%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
交易量
$8,679结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
交易量
$8,679结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 70%, reflecting two decades of delays since the last vote in 2005 amid unresolved disputes over biometric voter registration, clan representation quotas, and funding shortages. The recent November 13, 2024, presidential election—won by incumbent Muse Bihi Abdi of Kulmiye with 54.8% despite Waddani and UCID challenges rejected by the constitutional court—has yet to yield a firm parliamentary timeline, reinforcing postponement expectations. Waddani's strong 39.6% presidential showing positions it as the leading party contender at 12.5%, ahead of ruling Kulmiye (6.4%) and UCID (4%), with traders eyeing potential momentum but skeptical of near-term polls absent Electoral Commission announcements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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