Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, creating tight implied probabilities for second place on Polymarket. Die Linke leads trader consensus at 34.5 percent for the position, followed by CDU at 29 percent and AfD at 26 percent, while Grüne trails at 11.5 percent. AfD’s first-time topping of a Berlin survey in July has heightened uncertainty, as has the absence of a clear frontrunner in multiple summer polls. With no dominant party and several viable coalition paths still open, small shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Linke 36%
AfD 26%
基民盟 24%
格林党 11%
$17,526 交易量
$17,526 交易量
2026-09-20
Linke
36%
AfD
26%
基民盟
29%
格林党
11%
社民党
1%
自民党
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke 36%
AfD 26%
基民盟 24%
格林党 11%
$17,526 交易量
$17,526 交易量
2026-09-20
Linke
$3,809 交易量
36%
AfD
$3,270 交易量
26%
基民盟
$2,788 交易量
29%
格林党
$3,712 交易量
11%
社民党
$1,994 交易量
1%
自民党
$613 交易量
<1%
FW
$640 交易量
<1%
BSW
$699 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, creating tight implied probabilities for second place on Polymarket. Die Linke leads trader consensus at 34.5 percent for the position, followed by CDU at 29 percent and AfD at 26 percent, while Grüne trails at 11.5 percent. AfD’s first-time topping of a Berlin survey in July has heightened uncertainty, as has the absence of a clear frontrunner in multiple summer polls. With no dominant party and several viable coalition paths still open, small shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
交易量
$17,526结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, creating tight implied probabilities for second place on Polymarket. Die Linke leads trader consensus at 34.5 percent for the position, followed by CDU at 29 percent and AfD at 26 percent, while Grüne trails at 11.5 percent. AfD’s first-time topping of a Berlin survey in July has heightened uncertainty, as has the absence of a clear frontrunner in multiple summer polls. With no dominant party and several viable coalition paths still open, small shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$17,526结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Berlin’s September 20 state election shows Die Linke, CDU, and AfD clustered within a few points of one another at the top, creating tight implied probabilities for second place on Polymarket. Die Linke leads trader consensus at 34.5 percent for the position, followed by CDU at 29 percent and AfD at 26 percent, while Grüne trails at 11.5 percent. AfD’s first-time topping of a Berlin survey in July has heightened uncertainty, as has the absence of a clear frontrunner in multiple summer polls. With no dominant party and several viable coalition paths still open, small shifts in turnout among swing voters or late campaign developments could reorder the middle rankings before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题