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Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?

$2,876,386 交易量

Aug 1, 2025
Polymarket

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).

Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify.

Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
交易量
$2,876,386
结束日期
Aug 1, 2025
创建时间
Jul 1, 2025, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?

$2,876,386 交易量

Polymarket

China

$398,944 交易量

No

India

$253,684 交易量

No

European Union

$264,154 交易量

Yes

Japan

$102,536 交易量

Yes

Canada

$117,318 交易量

No

Mexico

$1,094,830 交易量

Yes

South Korea

$244,442 交易量

Yes

Vietnam

$30,540 交易量

Yes

Australia

$43,183 交易量

No

Germany

$72,923 交易量

No

France

$55,238 交易量

No

Brazil

$81,033 交易量

No

Argentina

$84,214 交易量

No

Israel

$33,348 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$2,876,386
结束日期
Aug 1, 2025
创建时间
Jul 1, 2025, 9:03 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。