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Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?

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Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?

$2,876,386 交易量

Aug 1, 2025
Polymarket

$2,876,386 交易量

Polymarket

China

$398,944 交易量

No

India

$253,684 交易量

No

European Union

$264,154 交易量

Yes

Japan

$102,536 交易量

Yes

Canada

$117,318 交易量

No

Mexico

$1,094,830 交易量

Yes

South Korea

$244,442 交易量

Yes

Vietnam

$30,540 交易量

Yes

Australia

$43,183 交易量

No

Germany

$72,923 交易量

No

France

$55,238 交易量

No

Brazil

$81,033 交易量

No

Argentina

$84,214 交易量

No

Israel

$33,348 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between July 1, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Trade agreements on minerals, critical supply chains, or other trade cooperation areas, will not alone qualify. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"European Union",概率为 100%,其次是"Japan",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?"已产生 $2.9 million 的总交易量(自Jul 2, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?"的当前领先者是"European Union",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Japan",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which countries will the U.S. agree to tariff agreements with before August?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。