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政治·国土安全

国土安全部关闭何时结束？

Market icon
政治·国土安全

国土安全部关闭何时结束？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

3月31日之后 83.5%

3月28日至31日 16.3%

3月24-27日 <1%

Polymarket

$1,556,034 交易量

3月31日之后 83.5%

3月28日至31日 16.3%

3月24-27日 <1%

Polymarket

$1,556,034 交易量

3月24-27日

$175,411 交易量

<1%

3月28日至31日

$77,267 交易量

16%

3月31日之后

$1,067,802 交易量

84%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (83.4%), driven by stalled bipartisan negotiations on a continuing resolution amid the March 23 funding cliff for non-defense discretionary spending, including DHS operations. Over the past week, House Republicans blocked a Senate-passed stopgap bill extending funding through March 31, citing insufficient spending cuts and border security measures, while intra-party divisions—particularly from Freedom Caucus holdouts—prevented advancing alternatives. Senate Democrats advanced their proposal via procedural votes, but filibuster threats and slim GOP support dim prospects for pre-April passage. Historical base rates show 80% of shutdown threats since 2010 resolved via short-term CRs post-deadline, bolstering odds for prolonged uncertainty. Upcoming floor votes and leadership whips could catalyze a deal, though time pressures favor extension beyond March.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,556,034
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (83.4%), driven by stalled bipartisan negotiations on a continuing resolution amid the March 23 funding cliff for non-defense discretionary spending, including DHS operations. Over the past week, House Republicans blocked a Senate-passed stopgap bill extending funding through March 31, citing insufficient spending cuts and border security measures, while intra-party divisions—particularly from Freedom Caucus holdouts—prevented advancing alternatives. Senate Democrats advanced their proposal via procedural votes, but filibuster threats and slim GOP support dim prospects for pre-April passage. Historical base rates show 80% of shutdown threats since 2010 resolved via short-term CRs post-deadline, bolstering odds for prolonged uncertainty. Upcoming floor votes and leadership whips could catalyze a deal, though time pressures favor extension beyond March.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (83.4%), driven by stalled bipartisan negotiations on a continuing resolution amid the March 23 funding cliff for non-defense discretionary spending, including DHS operations. Over the past week, House Republicans blocked a Senate-passed stopgap bill extending funding through March 31, citing insufficient spending cuts and border security measures, while intra-party divisions—particularly from Freedom Caucus holdouts—prevented advancing alternatives. Senate Democrats advanced their proposal via procedural votes, but filibuster threats and slim GOP support dim prospects for pre-April passage. Historical base rates show 80% of shutdown threats since 2010 resolved via short-term CRs post-deadline, bolstering odds for prolonged uncertainty. Upcoming floor votes and leadership whips could catalyze a deal, though time pressures favor extension beyond March.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"3月31日之后"，概率为 84%，其次是"3月28日至31日"，概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 84¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 84%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"已产生 $1.6 million 的总交易量（自Feb 15, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"的当前领先者是"3月31日之后"，概率为 84%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 84%。紧随其后的结果是"3月28日至31日"，概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"国土安全部关闭何时结束？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。