Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 81% in Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Phil Scott's recent entry into the Republican primary for a sixth term, leveraging his track record of landslide wins—including a massive 2024 margin—and status as America's most popular governor per recent surveys. In a state with Democratic supermajorities in the legislature but a history of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship, Scott's incumbency advantage overshadows the Democratic field, where economist Amanda Janoo remains the sole declared candidate following her March 10 announcement amid recruitment struggles. Primaries are August 11, with the general election November 3; Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$2,250 交易量
81%
民主党
$5,189 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 81% in Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Phil Scott's recent entry into the Republican primary for a sixth term, leveraging his track record of landslide wins—including a massive 2024 margin—and status as America's most popular governor per recent surveys. In a state with Democratic supermajorities in the legislature but a history of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship, Scott's incumbency advantage overshadows the Democratic field, where economist Amanda Janoo remains the sole declared candidate following her March 10 announcement amid recruitment struggles. Primaries are August 11, with the general election November 3; Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$7,440结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 81% in Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Phil Scott's recent entry into the Republican primary for a sixth term, leveraging his track record of landslide wins—including a massive 2024 margin—and status as America's most popular governor per recent surveys. In a state with Democratic supermajorities in the legislature but a history of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship, Scott's incumbency advantage overshadows the Democratic field, where economist Amanda Janoo remains the sole declared candidate following her March 10 announcement amid recruitment struggles. Primaries are August 11, with the general election November 3; Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$7,440结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 81% in Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Phil Scott's recent entry into the Republican primary for a sixth term, leveraging his track record of landslide wins—including a massive 2024 margin—and status as America's most popular governor per recent surveys. In a state with Democratic supermajorities in the legislature but a history of electing moderate Republicans to the governorship, Scott's incumbency advantage overshadows the Democratic field, where economist Amanda Janoo remains the sole declared candidate following her March 10 announcement amid recruitment struggles. Primaries are August 11, with the general election November 3; Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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