Market icon

在委内瑞拉的美军由...?

Market icon

在委内瑞拉的美军由...?

$9,435,672 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$9,435,672 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$228,500 交易量

10月31日

$457,088 交易量

11月30日

$514,514 交易量

分组项标题:12月31日

$1,462,395 交易量

1月31日

$6,361,686 交易量

3月31日

$411,488 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$9,435,672
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2025, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在委内瑞拉的美军由...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1月31日" at 100%, followed by "3月31日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "在委内瑞拉的美军由...?" has generated $9.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "在委内瑞拉的美军由...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在委内瑞拉的美军由...?" is "1月31日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3月31日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在委内瑞拉的美军由...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.