Trump's decisive 2024 election victory, clinching both the Electoral College and popular vote, combined with Republican majorities in the House and Senate starting January 3, 2025, underpins the strong trader consensus against early departure from the presidency by June 30. Recent cabinet nominations, including Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary over the past week, signal a smooth transition to inauguration on January 20. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced, while impeachment faces high procedural hurdles like supermajority Senate votes. Odds could shift on unforeseen scandals, medical events, or congressional disruptions, but current stability favors continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$1,557,582 交易量
$1,557,582 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$1,557,582 交易量
$1,557,582 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's decisive 2024 election victory, clinching both the Electoral College and popular vote, combined with Republican majorities in the House and Senate starting January 3, 2025, underpins the strong trader consensus against early departure from the presidency by June 30. Recent cabinet nominations, including Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary over the past week, signal a smooth transition to inauguration on January 20. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced, while impeachment faces high procedural hurdles like supermajority Senate votes. Odds could shift on unforeseen scandals, medical events, or congressional disruptions, but current stability favors continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,557,582结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's decisive 2024 election victory, clinching both the Electoral College and popular vote, combined with Republican majorities in the House and Senate starting January 3, 2025, underpins the strong trader consensus against early departure from the presidency by June 30. Recent cabinet nominations, including Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary over the past week, signal a smooth transition to inauguration on January 20. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced, while impeachment faces high procedural hurdles like supermajority Senate votes. Odds could shift on unforeseen scandals, medical events, or congressional disruptions, but current stability favors continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,557,582结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's decisive 2024 election victory, clinching both the Electoral College and popular vote, combined with Republican majorities in the House and Senate starting January 3, 2025, underpins the strong trader consensus against early departure from the presidency by June 30. Recent cabinet nominations, including Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary and Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary over the past week, signal a smooth transition to inauguration on January 20. No health issues, 25th Amendment invocations, or disqualifying legal developments have surfaced, while impeachment faces high procedural hurdles like supermajority Senate votes. Odds could shift on unforeseen scandals, medical events, or congressional disruptions, but current stability favors continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题