President Gabriel Boric's administration has addressed rising violent crime and organized gang activity—particularly in northern regions—through targeted measures like military deployments under state of emergency declarations, enhanced police funding, and legislative proposals for tougher penalties, rather than the more severe state of siege, which grants broad military powers and has not been invoked since the 1980s dictatorship era. Recent developments, including a June anti-crime summit yielding new intelligence-sharing protocols and no major unrest spikes in the past week, reinforce trader consensus that no nationwide state of siege will be declared by June 30. Official statements emphasize constitutional reforms over emergency escalations, with low public or congressional pressure for drastic action amid Boric's focus on security without overreach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$29,615 交易量
$29,615 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$29,615 交易量
$29,615 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Gabriel Boric's administration has addressed rising violent crime and organized gang activity—particularly in northern regions—through targeted measures like military deployments under state of emergency declarations, enhanced police funding, and legislative proposals for tougher penalties, rather than the more severe state of siege, which grants broad military powers and has not been invoked since the 1980s dictatorship era. Recent developments, including a June anti-crime summit yielding new intelligence-sharing protocols and no major unrest spikes in the past week, reinforce trader consensus that no nationwide state of siege will be declared by June 30. Official statements emphasize constitutional reforms over emergency escalations, with low public or congressional pressure for drastic action amid Boric's focus on security without overreach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$29,615结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Gabriel Boric's administration has addressed rising violent crime and organized gang activity—particularly in northern regions—through targeted measures like military deployments under state of emergency declarations, enhanced police funding, and legislative proposals for tougher penalties, rather than the more severe state of siege, which grants broad military powers and has not been invoked since the 1980s dictatorship era. Recent developments, including a June anti-crime summit yielding new intelligence-sharing protocols and no major unrest spikes in the past week, reinforce trader consensus that no nationwide state of siege will be declared by June 30. Official statements emphasize constitutional reforms over emergency escalations, with low public or congressional pressure for drastic action amid Boric's focus on security without overreach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,615结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Gabriel Boric's administration has addressed rising violent crime and organized gang activity—particularly in northern regions—through targeted measures like military deployments under state of emergency declarations, enhanced police funding, and legislative proposals for tougher penalties, rather than the more severe state of siege, which grants broad military powers and has not been invoked since the 1980s dictatorship era. Recent developments, including a June anti-crime summit yielding new intelligence-sharing protocols and no major unrest spikes in the past week, reinforce trader consensus that no nationwide state of siege will be declared by June 30. Official statements emphasize constitutional reforms over emergency escalations, with low public or congressional pressure for drastic action amid Boric's focus on security without overreach.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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