South Korea's March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year from February's 2.0%, undershooting forecasts of 2.4% amid a petroleum surge from Mideast energy shocks, though government curbs tempered the increase—driving Polymarket's trader consensus toward a 48% implied probability for 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%. Bank of Korea's February outlook projects 2.2% average inflation, but analysts like Standard Chartered (2.4%) and Citi (2.6%) have lifted estimates on elevated oil assumptions ($85/bbl) and won depreciation, elevating upside risks. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet consumer expectations hit 2.7%, positioning lower bins like <1.5% (23%) as hedges against potential disinflation. Watch April BoK meeting for policy signals amid persistent price pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3.0%及以上 48%
1.8%到2.0% 19%
2.4%到2.6% 19%
低于1.5% 18.0%
$10,007 交易量
$10,007 交易量
2026-12-31
低于1.5%
25%
1.5%到1.7%
21%
1.8%到2.0%
19%
2.1%到2.3%
14%
2.4%到2.6%
19%
2.7%至2.9%
2%
3.0%及以上
48%
3.0%及以上 48%
1.8%到2.0% 19%
2.4%到2.6% 19%
低于1.5% 18.0%
$10,007 交易量
$10,007 交易量
2026-12-31
低于1.5%
$937 交易量
25%
1.5%到1.7%
$942 交易量
21%
1.8%到2.0%
$0 交易量
19%
2.1%到2.3%
$0 交易量
14%
2.4%到2.6%
$0 交易量
19%
2.7%至2.9%
$80 交易量
2%
3.0%及以上
$8,048 交易量
48%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea's March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year from February's 2.0%, undershooting forecasts of 2.4% amid a petroleum surge from Mideast energy shocks, though government curbs tempered the increase—driving Polymarket's trader consensus toward a 48% implied probability for 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%. Bank of Korea's February outlook projects 2.2% average inflation, but analysts like Standard Chartered (2.4%) and Citi (2.6%) have lifted estimates on elevated oil assumptions ($85/bbl) and won depreciation, elevating upside risks. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet consumer expectations hit 2.7%, positioning lower bins like <1.5% (23%) as hedges against potential disinflation. Watch April BoK meeting for policy signals amid persistent price pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
市场开放时间： Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$10,007结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000South Korea's March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year from February's 2.0%, undershooting forecasts of 2.4% amid a petroleum surge from Mideast energy shocks, though government curbs tempered the increase—driving Polymarket's trader consensus toward a 48% implied probability for 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%. Bank of Korea's February outlook projects 2.2% average inflation, but analysts like Standard Chartered (2.4%) and Citi (2.6%) have lifted estimates on elevated oil assumptions ($85/bbl) and won depreciation, elevating upside risks. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet consumer expectations hit 2.7%, positioning lower bins like <1.5% (23%) as hedges against potential disinflation. Watch April BoK meeting for policy signals amid persistent price pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
交易量
$10,007结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea's March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year from February's 2.0%, undershooting forecasts of 2.4% amid a petroleum surge from Mideast energy shocks, though government curbs tempered the increase—driving Polymarket's trader consensus toward a 48% implied probability for 2026 annual inflation exceeding 3.0%. Bank of Korea's February outlook projects 2.2% average inflation, but analysts like Standard Chartered (2.4%) and Citi (2.6%) have lifted estimates on elevated oil assumptions ($85/bbl) and won depreciation, elevating upside risks. Core inflation eased to 2.2%, yet consumer expectations hit 2.7%, positioning lower bins like <1.5% (23%) as hedges against potential disinflation. Watch April BoK meeting for policy signals amid persistent price pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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