Rhode Island's gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan makeup where no Republican has won since Lincoln Almond left office in 2003, alongside consistent Democratic sweeps in recent cycles including Dan McKee's 2022 special election victory. Incumbent advantage bolsters trader consensus, with McKee likely seeking a full term amid a thin Republican bench lacking high-profile challengers. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a Democratic scandal, national Republican wave akin to 2010 midterms, or a standout GOP primary winner could narrow the gap ahead of the 2026 primaries and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan makeup where no Republican has won since Lincoln Almond left office in 2003, alongside consistent Democratic sweeps in recent cycles including Dan McKee's 2022 special election victory. Incumbent advantage bolsters trader consensus, with McKee likely seeking a full term amid a thin Republican bench lacking high-profile challengers. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a Democratic scandal, national Republican wave akin to 2010 midterms, or a standout GOP primary winner could narrow the gap ahead of the 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan makeup where no Republican has won since Lincoln Almond left office in 2003, alongside consistent Democratic sweeps in recent cycles including Dan McKee's 2022 special election victory. Incumbent advantage bolsters trader consensus, with McKee likely seeking a full term amid a thin Republican bench lacking high-profile challengers. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a Democratic scandal, national Republican wave akin to 2010 midterms, or a standout GOP primary winner could narrow the gap ahead of the 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's gubernatorial race favors Democrats at 93.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's deep-blue partisan makeup where no Republican has won since Lincoln Almond left office in 2003, alongside consistent Democratic sweeps in recent cycles including Dan McKee's 2022 special election victory. Incumbent advantage bolsters trader consensus, with McKee likely seeking a full term amid a thin Republican bench lacking high-profile challengers. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a Democratic scandal, national Republican wave akin to 2010 midterms, or a standout GOP primary winner could narrow the gap ahead of the 2026 primaries and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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