Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, backed by the February 18 hold at 2.25% where the Monetary Policy Committee signaled accommodative policy amid projections for inflation to re-enter the 1-3% target band. Sticky annual CPI at 3.7% through February supports the 16% hike odds amid supply pressures, while modest Q4 2025 GDP growth of 0.2%—below forecasts—and unemployment rising to 5.4% temper cut expectations at 6%. Traders eye the April 8 OCR review and March-quarter CPI release on April 21 for potential shifts in rate path expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于No Change 76%
Increase 16%
Decrease 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-27
Increase
16%
No Change
81%
Decrease
6%
No Change 76%
Increase 16%
Decrease 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-27
Increase
$253 交易量
16%
No Change
$411 交易量
81%
Decrease
$711 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, backed by the February 18 hold at 2.25% where the Monetary Policy Committee signaled accommodative policy amid projections for inflation to re-enter the 1-3% target band. Sticky annual CPI at 3.7% through February supports the 16% hike odds amid supply pressures, while modest Q4 2025 GDP growth of 0.2%—below forecasts—and unemployment rising to 5.4% temper cut expectations at 6%. Traders eye the April 8 OCR review and March-quarter CPI release on April 21 for potential shifts in rate path expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
交易量
$1,375结束日期
2026-05-27市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, backed by the February 18 hold at 2.25% where the Monetary Policy Committee signaled accommodative policy amid projections for inflation to re-enter the 1-3% target band. Sticky annual CPI at 3.7% through February supports the 16% hike odds amid supply pressures, while modest Q4 2025 GDP growth of 0.2%—below forecasts—and unemployment rising to 5.4% temper cut expectations at 6%. Traders eye the April 8 OCR review and March-quarter CPI release on April 21 for potential shifts in rate path expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$1,375结束日期
2026-05-27市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 80% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 27 Monetary Policy Statement, backed by the February 18 hold at 2.25% where the Monetary Policy Committee signaled accommodative policy amid projections for inflation to re-enter the 1-3% target band. Sticky annual CPI at 3.7% through February supports the 16% hike odds amid supply pressures, while modest Q4 2025 GDP growth of 0.2%—below forecasts—and unemployment rising to 5.4% temper cut expectations at 6%. Traders eye the April 8 OCR review and March-quarter CPI release on April 21 for potential shifts in rate path expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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