Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a commanding 99.2% implied probability for under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026—a Saturday during spring break—anchored by consistently subdued recent throughput data. Official figures show 2.71 million screened on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.76 million on the prior Saturday (March 29), all 8-10% below year-ago levels amid TSA staffing shortages from government disruptions and extended security lines deterring volumes. This near-unanimous positioning leaves scant room for higher bins, though a realistic upset could stem from pent-up weekend leisure demand or favorable weather spurring last-minute bookings, prior to the official TSA release expected Monday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月4日TSA旅客人数？
4月4日TSA旅客人数？
<3.0M 99.2%
3.0M-3.2M 1.0%
340万-360万 <1%
320万-340万 <1%
$10,283 交易量
$10,283 交易量
2026-04-04
<3.0M
99%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
320万-340万
1%
340万-360万
1%
360万-380万
<1%
>380万
1%
<3.0M 99.2%
3.0M-3.2M 1.0%
340万-360万 <1%
320万-340万 <1%
$10,283 交易量
$10,283 交易量
2026-04-04
<3.0M
$3,149 交易量
99%
3.0M-3.2M
$290 交易量
1%
320万-340万
$1,425 交易量
1%
340万-360万
$1,795 交易量
1%
360万-380万
$1,825 交易量
<1%
>380万
$1,800 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a commanding 99.2% implied probability for under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026—a Saturday during spring break—anchored by consistently subdued recent throughput data. Official figures show 2.71 million screened on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.76 million on the prior Saturday (March 29), all 8-10% below year-ago levels amid TSA staffing shortages from government disruptions and extended security lines deterring volumes. This near-unanimous positioning leaves scant room for higher bins, though a realistic upset could stem from pent-up weekend leisure demand or favorable weather spurring last-minute bookings, prior to the official TSA release expected Monday.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
交易量
$10,283结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a commanding 99.2% implied probability for under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026—a Saturday during spring break—anchored by consistently subdued recent throughput data. Official figures show 2.71 million screened on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.76 million on the prior Saturday (March 29), all 8-10% below year-ago levels amid TSA staffing shortages from government disruptions and extended security lines deterring volumes. This near-unanimous positioning leaves scant room for higher bins, though a realistic upset could stem from pent-up weekend leisure demand or favorable weather spurring last-minute bookings, prior to the official TSA release expected Monday.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$10,283结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects a commanding 99.2% implied probability for under 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, 2026—a Saturday during spring break—anchored by consistently subdued recent throughput data. Official figures show 2.71 million screened on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.76 million on the prior Saturday (March 29), all 8-10% below year-ago levels amid TSA staffing shortages from government disruptions and extended security lines deterring volumes. This near-unanimous positioning leaves scant room for higher bins, though a realistic upset could stem from pent-up weekend leisure demand or favorable weather spurring last-minute bookings, prior to the official TSA release expected Monday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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