Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith secured the GOP nomination with an easy primary victory on March 10 over challenger Sarah Adlakha, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Scott Colom, who won his party's primary uncontested by major opposition. Mississippi's long history of electing Republicans to the Senate—none since the 1980s—combined with the state's deep-red status and Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, drives trader consensus heavily toward a Republican hold in the November 3 midterm contest. No recent polls show competitiveness, reinforcing the lopsided positioning. Upsets could stem from a major scandal, health crisis, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical base rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,438 交易量
$10,438 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$10,438 交易量
$10,438 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$8,814 交易量
92%
民主党
$1,624 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith secured the GOP nomination with an easy primary victory on March 10 over challenger Sarah Adlakha, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Scott Colom, who won his party's primary uncontested by major opposition. Mississippi's long history of electing Republicans to the Senate—none since the 1980s—combined with the state's deep-red status and Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, drives trader consensus heavily toward a Republican hold in the November 3 midterm contest. No recent polls show competitiveness, reinforcing the lopsided positioning. Upsets could stem from a major scandal, health crisis, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical base rates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$10,438结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith secured the GOP nomination with an easy primary victory on March 10 over challenger Sarah Adlakha, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Scott Colom, who won his party's primary uncontested by major opposition. Mississippi's long history of electing Republicans to the Senate—none since the 1980s—combined with the state's deep-red status and Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, drives trader consensus heavily toward a Republican hold in the November 3 midterm contest. No recent polls show competitiveness, reinforcing the lopsided positioning. Upsets could stem from a major scandal, health crisis, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical base rates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,438结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith secured the GOP nomination with an easy primary victory on March 10 over challenger Sarah Adlakha, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Scott Colom, who won his party's primary uncontested by major opposition. Mississippi's long history of electing Republicans to the Senate—none since the 1980s—combined with the state's deep-red status and Hyde-Smith's incumbency advantage, drives trader consensus heavily toward a Republican hold in the November 3 midterm contest. No recent polls show competitiveness, reinforcing the lopsided positioning. Upsets could stem from a major scandal, health crisis, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical base rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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