Amid Cuba's severe economic crisis, including widespread blackouts and fuel shortages exacerbated by U.S. sanctions and an oil blockade, the Trump administration demanded Miguel Díaz-Canel's removal as president during March negotiations, viewing it as essential for progress on prisoner releases and aid. Cuban officials categorically rejected this precondition, with Díaz-Canel confirming early talks but emphasizing no coercion. As president and Communist Party first secretary since 2018, he remains in power under the influence of 94-year-old Raúl Castro, fueling speculation of succession at a 2026 party congress possibly elevating a Castro relative. Traders monitor negotiation breakthroughs, internal shifts, or worsening unrest ahead of potential mid-year deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$896,804 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
3月31日
1%
6月30日
38%
12月31日
58%
$896,804 交易量
3月31日
$380,269 交易量
1%
6月30日
$430,692 交易量
38%
12月31日
$85,843 交易量
58%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid Cuba's severe economic crisis, including widespread blackouts and fuel shortages exacerbated by U.S. sanctions and an oil blockade, the Trump administration demanded Miguel Díaz-Canel's removal as president during March negotiations, viewing it as essential for progress on prisoner releases and aid. Cuban officials categorically rejected this precondition, with Díaz-Canel confirming early talks but emphasizing no coercion. As president and Communist Party first secretary since 2018, he remains in power under the influence of 94-year-old Raúl Castro, fueling speculation of succession at a 2026 party congress possibly elevating a Castro relative. Traders monitor negotiation breakthroughs, internal shifts, or worsening unrest ahead of potential mid-year deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 9:31 AM ET
交易量
$896,804结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 9:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid Cuba's severe economic crisis, including widespread blackouts and fuel shortages exacerbated by U.S. sanctions and an oil blockade, the Trump administration demanded Miguel Díaz-Canel's removal as president during March negotiations, viewing it as essential for progress on prisoner releases and aid. Cuban officials categorically rejected this precondition, with Díaz-Canel confirming early talks but emphasizing no coercion. As president and Communist Party first secretary since 2018, he remains in power under the influence of 94-year-old Raúl Castro, fueling speculation of succession at a 2026 party congress possibly elevating a Castro relative. Traders monitor negotiation breakthroughs, internal shifts, or worsening unrest ahead of potential mid-year deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Miguel Díaz-Canel and the government of Cuba; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$896,804结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 9:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid Cuba's severe economic crisis, including widespread blackouts and fuel shortages exacerbated by U.S. sanctions and an oil blockade, the Trump administration demanded Miguel Díaz-Canel's removal as president during March negotiations, viewing it as essential for progress on prisoner releases and aid. Cuban officials categorically rejected this precondition, with Díaz-Canel confirming early talks but emphasizing no coercion. As president and Communist Party first secretary since 2018, he remains in power under the influence of 94-year-old Raúl Castro, fueling speculation of succession at a 2026 party congress possibly elevating a Castro relative. Traders monitor negotiation breakthroughs, internal shifts, or worsening unrest ahead of potential mid-year deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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