Trader consensus prices a 99.9% "No" on Nicolás Maduro's exile to Qatar by March 31, driven by his unchallenged grip on Venezuela's military, security apparatus, and state institutions following the disputed July 2024 election and January inauguration. No official statements, diplomatic signals, or verified reports indicate negotiations or flight plans to Qatar, despite U.S. and EU non-recognition of his mandate, ongoing sanctions, and opposition protests led by exiled rival Edmundo González. Recent suppression of demonstrations reinforces regime stability. Realistic shifts would require a sudden military defection or international intervention, though evidence points to continuity amid economic pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$74,586 交易量
$74,586 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$74,586 交易量
$74,586 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$74,586结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$74,586结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 99.9% "No" on Nicolás Maduro's exile to Qatar by March 31, driven by his unchallenged grip on Venezuela's military, security apparatus, and state institutions following the disputed July 2024 election and January inauguration. No official statements, diplomatic signals, or verified reports indicate negotiations or flight plans to Qatar, despite U.S. and EU non-recognition of his mandate, ongoing sanctions, and opposition protests led by exiled rival Edmundo González. Recent suppression of demonstrations reinforces regime stability. Realistic shifts would require a sudden military defection or international intervention, though evidence points to continuity amid economic pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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