Market icon

Israel strikes Iran on...?

$10,781,618 交易量

Jun 25, 2025

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,781,618
结束日期
Jun 20, 2025
创建于
Jun 19, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

注意外部链接。

Market icon

Israel strikes Iran on...?

$10,781,618 交易量

Saturday, June 14

$141,967 交易量

Yes

Sunday, June 15

$337,124 交易量

Yes

Monday, June 16

$393,495 交易量

Yes

Tuesday, June 17

$562,119 交易量

Yes

Wednesday, June 18

$499,640 交易量

Yes

Thursday, June 19

$607,994 交易量

Yes

Friday, June 20

$425,779 交易量

Yes

Saturday, June 21

$216,841 交易量

Yes

Sunday, June 22

$3,651,331 交易量

Yes

Monday, June 23

$266,010 交易量

Yes

Tuesday, June 24

$2,042,695 交易量

Yes

Wednesday, June 25

$486,483 交易量

No

Thursday, June 26

$266,337 交易量

No

Friday, June 27

$298,283 交易量

No

Saturday, June 28

$149,397 交易量

No

Sunday, June 29

$163,268 交易量

No

Monday, June 30

$272,854 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$10,781,618
结束日期
Jun 20, 2025
创建于
Jun 19, 2025, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

注意外部链接。