Incumbent Republican Brian Jack's unopposed path through the May 19 primary in the solidly Republican GA-03 district, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Jack's 2024 victory margin exceeded 30 points against Democrat Maura Keller, who leads a weak Democratic primary field alongside George Melville Johnson with minimal fundraising. No polls indicate competitiveness, and the March 6 filing deadline confirmed no credible GOP challengers or shifts, reinforcing the district's historical Republican dominance in this battleground-light midterm environment. Late scandals or national wave dynamics remain distant upset risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,332 交易量
90%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Jack's unopposed path through the May 19 primary in the solidly Republican GA-03 district, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Jack's 2024 victory margin exceeded 30 points against Democrat Maura Keller, who leads a weak Democratic primary field alongside George Melville Johnson with minimal fundraising. No polls indicate competitiveness, and the March 6 filing deadline confirmed no credible GOP challengers or shifts, reinforcing the district's historical Republican dominance in this battleground-light midterm environment. Late scandals or national wave dynamics remain distant upset risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$6,332结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Jack's unopposed path through the May 19 primary in the solidly Republican GA-03 district, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Jack's 2024 victory margin exceeded 30 points against Democrat Maura Keller, who leads a weak Democratic primary field alongside George Melville Johnson with minimal fundraising. No polls indicate competitiveness, and the March 6 filing deadline confirmed no credible GOP challengers or shifts, reinforcing the district's historical Republican dominance in this battleground-light midterm environment. Late scandals or national wave dynamics remain distant upset risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,332结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Jack's unopposed path through the May 19 primary in the solidly Republican GA-03 district, rated Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball and Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+15 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus toward a 90% implied probability for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Jack's 2024 victory margin exceeded 30 points against Democrat Maura Keller, who leads a weak Democratic primary field alongside George Melville Johnson with minimal fundraising. No polls indicate competitiveness, and the March 6 filing deadline confirmed no credible GOP challengers or shifts, reinforcing the district's historical Republican dominance in this battleground-light midterm environment. Late scandals or national wave dynamics remain distant upset risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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