Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CZ posting 20-39 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, at 79% implied probability, reflecting his consistent historical posting rhythm of roughly 3-6 updates daily since his September 2024 prison release. Recent X activity shows steady output—averaging 25-35 posts weekly amid crypto market commentary, Binance updates, and personal insights—without signs of acceleration or decline. Lower odds for 40+ posts (11.5% for 40-59) stem from rare spikes tied to major events like regulatory news, absent for this future window. No scheduled catalysts alter this baseline, positioning modest volume as the skin-in-the-game expectation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于CZ # POSTS 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
CZ # POSTS 2026年3月20日至3月27日?
20-39 79%
40-59 12%
<20 7.8%
60-79 2.7%
$15,575 交易量
$15,575 交易量
<20
8%
20-39
79%
40-59
12%
60-79
3%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
1%
20-39 79%
40-59 12%
<20 7.8%
60-79 2.7%
$15,575 交易量
$15,575 交易量
<20
8%
20-39
79%
40-59
12%
60-79
3%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/cz_binanceResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/cz_binanceResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CZ posting 20-39 times on X during March 20-27, 2026, at 79% implied probability, reflecting his consistent historical posting rhythm of roughly 3-6 updates daily since his September 2024 prison release. Recent X activity shows steady output—averaging 25-35 posts weekly amid crypto market commentary, Binance updates, and personal insights—without signs of acceleration or decline. Lower odds for 40+ posts (11.5% for 40-59) stem from rare spikes tied to major events like regulatory news, absent for this future window. No scheduled catalysts alter this baseline, positioning modest volume as the skin-in-the-game expectation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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