Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's recent easing cycle. After 50 basis point cuts in February to 15.5% and March to 15.00%, the Bank of Russia cited a downward inflation trajectory toward its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast from January's 6% peak, supporting further monetary policy accommodation despite subdued GDP growth projections near 0.8%. Realistic challenges include upside inflation risks from external sanctions, fiscal pressures, or budget deficits, which could prompt a hold if proinflationary shocks materialize ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于降低 96%
不变 4%
增加 <1%
$55,592 交易量
$55,592 交易量
2026-04-24
降低
96%
不变
4%
增加
1%
降低 96%
不变 4%
增加 <1%
$55,592 交易量
$55,592 交易量
2026-04-24
降低
$27,208 交易量
96%
不变
$12,428 交易量
4%
增加
$15,956 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's recent easing cycle. After 50 basis point cuts in February to 15.5% and March to 15.00%, the Bank of Russia cited a downward inflation trajectory toward its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast from January's 6% peak, supporting further monetary policy accommodation despite subdued GDP growth projections near 0.8%. Realistic challenges include upside inflation risks from external sanctions, fiscal pressures, or budget deficits, which could prompt a hold if proinflationary shocks materialize ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$55,592结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's recent easing cycle. After 50 basis point cuts in February to 15.5% and March to 15.00%, the Bank of Russia cited a downward inflation trajectory toward its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast from January's 6% peak, supporting further monetary policy accommodation despite subdued GDP growth projections near 0.8%. Realistic challenges include upside inflation risks from external sanctions, fiscal pressures, or budget deficits, which could prompt a hold if proinflationary shocks materialize ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$55,592结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 95% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by sustained disinflation and the central bank's recent easing cycle. After 50 basis point cuts in February to 15.5% and March to 15.00%, the Bank of Russia cited a downward inflation trajectory toward its 4.5-5.5% 2026 forecast from January's 6% peak, supporting further monetary policy accommodation despite subdued GDP growth projections near 0.8%. Realistic challenges include upside inflation risks from external sanctions, fiscal pressures, or budget deficits, which could prompt a hold if proinflationary shocks materialize ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题