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政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者

Market icon
政治·中期

阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者

汤姆·贝吉奇 25%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 14%

南希·达尔斯特伦姆 10%

埃德娜·德弗里斯 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,399 交易量

汤姆·贝吉奇 25%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 14%

南希·达尔斯特伦姆 10%

埃德娜·德弗里斯 9.1%

Polymarket

$374,399 交易量

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汤姆·贝吉奇

$93,868 交易量

25%

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伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$129,227 交易量

14%

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南希·达尔斯特伦姆

$91,970 交易量

10%

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埃德娜·德弗里斯

$0 交易量

8%

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特雷格·泰勒

$0 交易量

11%

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丽莎·穆尔科斯基

$2,173 交易量

6%

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大卫·布朗森

$2,133 交易量

5%

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雪莉·休斯

$0 交易量

5%

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詹姆斯·帕金

$0 交易量

5%

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玛丽·佩尔托拉

$0 交易量

3%

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Click Bishop

$0 交易量

2%

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马特·海拉拉

$23,375 交易量

1%

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亚当·克拉姆

$31,654 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest—an term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's seat with a nonpartisan top-four primary August 18 and ranked-choice general November 3—trader consensus positions former Sen. Tom Begich (24.5%) ahead amid a splintered Republican field, where Bernadette Wilson (14%), Treg Taylor (11%), and Nancy Dahlstrom (9.5%) divide conservative support. Begich's edge reflects a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him at 22% versus fragmented GOP votes, bolstered by $350,000 early fundraising largely from Alaskans and recent Southeast tour emphasizing education and housing. GOP consolidation via Dunleavy endorsements or standout fundraising before June 1 filing could rally backing, while historical ranked-choice splits heighten risks for Republicans.

In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest—an term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's seat with a nonpartisan top-four primary August 18 and ranked-choice general November 3—trader consensus positions former Sen. Tom Begich (24.5%) ahead amid a splintered Republican field, where Bernadette Wilson (14%), Treg Taylor (11%), and Nancy Dahlstrom (9.5%) divide conservative support. Begich's edge reflects a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him at 22% versus fragmented GOP votes, bolstered by $350,000 early fundraising largely from Alaskans and recent Southeast tour emphasizing education and housing. GOP consolidation via Dunleavy endorsements or standout fundraising before June 1 filing could rally backing, while historical ranked-choice splits heighten risks for Republicans.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest—an term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's seat with a nonpartisan top-four primary August 18 and ranked-choice general November 3—trader consensus positions former Sen. Tom Begich (24.5%) ahead amid a splintered Republican field, where Bernadette Wilson (14%), Treg Taylor (11%), and Nancy Dahlstrom (9.5%) divide conservative support. Begich's edge reflects a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him at 22% versus fragmented GOP votes, bolstered by $350,000 early fundraising largely from Alaskans and recent Southeast tour emphasizing education and housing. GOP consolidation via Dunleavy endorsements or standout fundraising before June 1 filing could rally backing, while historical ranked-choice splits heighten risks for Republicans.

In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest—an term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's seat with a nonpartisan top-four primary August 18 and ranked-choice general November 3—trader consensus positions former Sen. Tom Begich (24.5%) ahead amid a splintered Republican field, where Bernadette Wilson (14%), Treg Taylor (11%), and Nancy Dahlstrom (9.5%) divide conservative support. Begich's edge reflects a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him at 22% versus fragmented GOP votes, bolstered by $350,000 early fundraising largely from Alaskans and recent Southeast tour emphasizing education and housing. GOP consolidation via Dunleavy endorsements or standout fundraising before June 1 filing could rally backing, while historical ranked-choice splits heighten risks for Republicans.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 25%，其次是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 25¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 25%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "已产生 $374.4K 的总交易量（自Oct 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "上交易，浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇"，概率为 25%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 25%。紧随其后的结果是"伯纳黛特·威尔逊"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿拉斯加州州长选举获胜者 "的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。