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X風險 預測與賠率

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes

$141M 交易量

$134M today

1

Ends 21 天內

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

74%

December 31

$94M 交易量

$4M today

$2M Liq.

1,964

Ends 8 個月內

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

73%

June 30

$34M 交易量

$403K today

$222K Liq.

6

Ends 10 天前

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

8%

$490K 交易量

$102K today

$34.1K Liq.

8

Ends 21 天內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes

$15M 交易量

5,422

Ends 8 個月內

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

100%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M 交易量

$325K Liq.

34

Ends 大約 3 小時內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

-

$193K 交易量

$36.0K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

19%

December 31

$2M 交易量

$44.0K Liq.

35

Ends 8 個月內

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

19%

$303K 交易量

$31.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

21%

$450K 交易量

$14.6K Liq.

19

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

21%

$194K 交易量

$43.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

16%

June 30

$772K 交易量

$125K Liq.

13

Ends 21 天內

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

93%

$109K 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

12

Ends 21 天內

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

73%

December 31

$57.5K 交易量

$66.8K Liq.

4

Ends 8 個月內

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

12%

$693K 交易量

$32.4K Liq.

33

Ends 8 個月內

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

57%

$23.5K 交易量

$28.8K Liq.

1

Ends 21 天內

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

$2M 交易量

$37.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

5%

May 31

$147K 交易量

$30.3K Liq.

22

Ends 21 天內

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

72%

Steve Witkoff

$1M 交易量

$108K Liq.

69

Ends 大約 2 個月內

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

7%

June 30

$591K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

38

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like X風險.

Polymarket currently hosts 227 active markets for X風險 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $294.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on X風險 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.