Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

94%

June 30

$69.2K 交易量

$21.1K Liq.

11

Ends 9 個月內

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

57%

Anthropic

$51.0K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

47%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

108

Ends 3 個月內

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

7%

$1.1K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

10%

$2.1K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

3

Ends 9 個月內

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

54%

June 30

$78.4K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

1

Ends 26 天內

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

2%

$142K 交易量

$21.6K Liq.

1

Ends 3 個月內

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

72%

GIANTX

$22 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

97%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$927K 交易量

$87.6K Liq.

2

Ends 3 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$439K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

28

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

14%

$28.9K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

2

Ends 9 個月內

LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

55%

Team WE

$11.0K 交易量

$23.2K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

89%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$3.3K 交易量

$74.7K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

52%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$102K 交易量

$31.7K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$3.6K 交易量

$58.7K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

74%

Top Esports

$0 交易量

$119 Liq.

Ends 8 天內

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

70%

RED Canids

$309 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

26%

$5.0K 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

95%

35%+

$192K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

3

Ends 3 個月內

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

64%

Anyone's Legend

$0 交易量

$181 Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 人形.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 人形 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 47% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 人形 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.