Skip to main content

人形 預測與賠率

·
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$98.2K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

12

Ends 7 個月內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

89%

Anthropic

$19.4K 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

81%

Anthropic

$21.2K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

25%

Anthropic

$63.9K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

94%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$5.6K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$328 交易量

$10.2K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

34%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

130

Ends 7 個月內

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

6%

$2.6K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

4

Ends 7 個月內

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

48%

↑ $1.1T

$273K 交易量

$124K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$520 Liq.

5

Ends 7 個月內

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Open Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Open Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Mentality Monster

$11.8K 交易量

$492 Liq.

Ends 23 分鐘前

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

46%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$527 交易量

$6.5K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

71%

July 31

$481K 交易量

$35.6K Liq.

22

Ends 大約 1 個月前

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

30%

<2

$365 交易量

$8.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

92%

<2

$32.8K 交易量

$9.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時內

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

98%

↑$1.1T

$1M 交易量

$477K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

26%

80-99

$530 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

92%

600B+

$323K 交易量

$159K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

72%

Prestige

$217 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M 交易量

$229K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 人形.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for 人形 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 人形 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.