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通過選舉 預測與賠率

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Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

5%

$58.9K 交易量

$16.8K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

<1%

$724K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

3

Ends 6 天內

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

99%

de la Espriella 0-5%

$579K 交易量

$180K Liq.

10

Ends 2 天前

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

99%

Fujimori 0–4%

$1M 交易量

$157K Liq.

27

Ends 17 天前

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

97%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$3M 交易量

$550K Liq.

50

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

38%

Lula da Silva 5-10%

$256K 交易量

$106K Liq.

14

Ends 3 個月內

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

99%

de la Espriella Win

$137K 交易量

$83.2K Liq.

2

Ends 24 天前

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

98%

Becerra <5%

$31.9K 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

Ends 22 天前

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

96%

Bass 5–10%

$210K 交易量

$77.7K Liq.

6

Ends 22 天前

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

50%

Labour 0-5%

$1.8K 交易量

$8.4K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

97%

Collins 10–15%

$3.4K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$197K 交易量

$29.3K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

99%

December 31, 2026

$128K 交易量

$31.8K Liq.

14

Ends 6 天內

French election called by...?

French election called by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

313

Ends 6 個月前

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

31%

December 31

$585K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

8

Ends 6 個月內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

52%

June 30, 2027

$796K 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

15

Ends 6 個月前

Spain snap election called by...?

Spain snap election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$177K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 6 個月前

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$44.7K Liq.

36

Ends 6 個月內

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

<1%

$86.6K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

41

Ends 6 天內

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$28.0K Liq.

50

Ends 6 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 771 active markets for 通過選舉 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Another Canada election called by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to Fujimori 0.2–0.3%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 通過選舉 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.