Canada's most recent federal election occurred in April 2025, leaving the current Parliament with a full mandate extending to the fixed-date election of October 15, 2029. No dissolution has been recommended by the prime minister, and Parliament continues normal sittings without imminent confidence votes or procedural triggers that would force an early general election. Traders assign near-certainty to "No" because the short window to June 30 offers no scheduled catalysts or reported political pressures capable of prompting dissolution. A sudden loss of supply-and-confidence support or unforeseen crisis could theoretically alter this, though such developments remain absent from current parliamentary dynamics.