Recent Bank of Canada communications and April 2026 Monetary Policy Report data underpin the near-even 53.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 rate hike. The Governing Council has held the overnight target steady at 2.25% since late 2025, citing moderate GDP growth, a 6.7% unemployment rate, and core inflation measures remaining near the 2% target despite headline CPI rising to 2.4% on energy prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions. Policymakers are looking through these transitory pressures while monitoring spillovers and U.S. tariff effects. Analyst forecasts diverge, with most projecting no move through year-end and others anticipating hikes if inflation broadens. The June 10 announcement and July Monetary Policy Report will clarify whether excess capacity and anchored expectations sustain the current path.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,713 交易量
$10,713 交易量
2026-12-31
$10,713 交易量
$10,713 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent Bank of Canada communications and April 2026 Monetary Policy Report data underpin the near-even 53.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 rate hike. The Governing Council has held the overnight target steady at 2.25% since late 2025, citing moderate GDP growth, a 6.7% unemployment rate, and core inflation measures remaining near the 2% target despite headline CPI rising to 2.4% on energy prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions. Policymakers are looking through these transitory pressures while monitoring spillovers and U.S. tariff effects. Analyst forecasts diverge, with most projecting no move through year-end and others anticipating hikes if inflation broadens. The June 10 announcement and July Monetary Policy Report will clarify whether excess capacity and anchored expectations sustain the current path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$10,713結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent Bank of Canada communications and April 2026 Monetary Policy Report data underpin the near-even 53.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 rate hike. The Governing Council has held the overnight target steady at 2.25% since late 2025, citing moderate GDP growth, a 6.7% unemployment rate, and core inflation measures remaining near the 2% target despite headline CPI rising to 2.4% on energy prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions. Policymakers are looking through these transitory pressures while monitoring spillovers and U.S. tariff effects. Analyst forecasts diverge, with most projecting no move through year-end and others anticipating hikes if inflation broadens. The June 10 announcement and July Monetary Policy Report will clarify whether excess capacity and anchored expectations sustain the current path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,713結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bank of Canada communications and April 2026 Monetary Policy Report data underpin the near-even 53.5% market-implied odds against a 2026 rate hike. The Governing Council has held the overnight target steady at 2.25% since late 2025, citing moderate GDP growth, a 6.7% unemployment rate, and core inflation measures remaining near the 2% target despite headline CPI rising to 2.4% on energy prices linked to Middle East supply disruptions. Policymakers are looking through these transitory pressures while monitoring spillovers and U.S. tariff effects. Analyst forecasts diverge, with most projecting no move through year-end and others anticipating hikes if inflation broadens. The June 10 announcement and July Monetary Policy Report will clarify whether excess capacity and anchored expectations sustain the current path.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions