Market icon
政治·歐洲

克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁

Market icon
政治·歐洲

克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁

是

17% 機率
Polymarket

$12,398 交易量

是

17% 機率
Polymarket

$12,398 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 83% implied probability against Christine Lagarde departing as European Central Bank (ECB) president in 2026, reflecting her repeated public affirmations of intent to complete her eight-year term ending October 31, 2027. Mid-February 2026 reports, citing unnamed sources, speculated an early exit ahead of France's April 2027 presidential election to enable President Macron's influence on successor selection amid far-right gains, but Lagarde called completing her mandate her "baseline," the ECB confirmed no decision has been made, and German officials dismissed it as speculation. Absent any March or April announcements, resignations, or succession developments, traders view structural barriers to mid-term removal—requiring European Council and Parliament consensus—as maintaining stability, with focus now on her ongoing policy speeches and eurozone inflation trends.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,398
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 83% implied probability against Christine Lagarde departing as European Central Bank (ECB) president in 2026, reflecting her repeated public affirmations of intent to complete her eight-year term ending October 31, 2027. Mid-February 2026 reports, citing unnamed sources, speculated an early exit ahead of France's April 2027 presidential election to enable President Macron's influence on successor selection amid far-right gains, but Lagarde called completing her mandate her "baseline," the ECB confirmed no decision has been made, and German officials dismissed it as speculation. Absent any March or April announcements, resignations, or succession developments, traders view structural barriers to mid-term removal—requiring European Council and Parliament consensus—as maintaining stability, with focus now on her ongoing policy speeches and eurozone inflation trends.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,398
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克里斯蒂娜·拉加德將於2026年卸任歐洲央行行長？" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁" is "克里斯蒂娜·拉加德將於2026年卸任歐洲央行行長？" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "克裏斯蒂娜·拉加德（ Christine Lagarde ）在2026年擔任歐洲央行總裁" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.