Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% the prior month, propelled by energy price spikes from the escalating Iran war and oil shocks, exceeding the ECB's 2% target. ECB Governing Council members, including French central bank chief Villeroy de Galhau who stated yesterday that the next move is likely a rate increase though timing is premature, and Bundesbank President Nagel who flagged April as an option, have voiced readiness to tighten policy. Despite holding rates steady at the March 19 meeting and forecasting 2.6% inflation for 2026 overall, the April 29-30 decision looms as a pivotal test. Trader consensus at 78% for a 2026 hike reflects this geopolitical-driven inflationary rebound and the ECB's vigilance against entrenched price pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$83,915 交易量
$83,915 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$83,915 交易量
$83,915 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% the prior month, propelled by energy price spikes from the escalating Iran war and oil shocks, exceeding the ECB's 2% target. ECB Governing Council members, including French central bank chief Villeroy de Galhau who stated yesterday that the next move is likely a rate increase though timing is premature, and Bundesbank President Nagel who flagged April as an option, have voiced readiness to tighten policy. Despite holding rates steady at the March 19 meeting and forecasting 2.6% inflation for 2026 overall, the April 29-30 decision looms as a pivotal test. Trader consensus at 78% for a 2026 hike reflects this geopolitical-driven inflationary rebound and the ECB's vigilance against entrenched price pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
交易量
$83,915結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% the prior month, propelled by energy price spikes from the escalating Iran war and oil shocks, exceeding the ECB's 2% target. ECB Governing Council members, including French central bank chief Villeroy de Galhau who stated yesterday that the next move is likely a rate increase though timing is premature, and Bundesbank President Nagel who flagged April as an option, have voiced readiness to tighten policy. Despite holding rates steady at the March 19 meeting and forecasting 2.6% inflation for 2026 overall, the April 29-30 decision looms as a pivotal test. Trader consensus at 78% for a 2026 hike reflects this geopolitical-driven inflationary rebound and the ECB's vigilance against entrenched price pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$83,915結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% the prior month, propelled by energy price spikes from the escalating Iran war and oil shocks, exceeding the ECB's 2% target. ECB Governing Council members, including French central bank chief Villeroy de Galhau who stated yesterday that the next move is likely a rate increase though timing is premature, and Bundesbank President Nagel who flagged April as an option, have voiced readiness to tighten policy. Despite holding rates steady at the March 19 meeting and forecasting 2.6% inflation for 2026 overall, the April 29-30 decision looms as a pivotal test. Trader consensus at 78% for a 2026 hike reflects this geopolitical-driven inflationary rebound and the ECB's vigilance against entrenched price pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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