Eurozone inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, driven by soaring energy costs from the Iran conflict, pushing the ECB's 2026 forecast to 2.6% and prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19. ECB President Lagarde signaled readiness for hikes if pressures persist, with economists and banks like Morgan Stanley now forecasting steady or higher rates through year-end amid subdued 0.9% GDP growth. Traders' 81% "No" consensus on a 2026 rate cut reflects this hawkish pivot from prior easing expectations, reinforced by money markets pricing two-to-three increases, though data-dependent decisions loom at upcoming meetings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$20,823 交易量
$20,823 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$20,823 交易量
$20,823 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, driven by soaring energy costs from the Iran conflict, pushing the ECB's 2026 forecast to 2.6% and prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19. ECB President Lagarde signaled readiness for hikes if pressures persist, with economists and banks like Morgan Stanley now forecasting steady or higher rates through year-end amid subdued 0.9% GDP growth. Traders' 81% "No" consensus on a 2026 rate cut reflects this hawkish pivot from prior easing expectations, reinforced by money markets pricing two-to-three increases, though data-dependent decisions loom at upcoming meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$20,823結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, driven by soaring energy costs from the Iran conflict, pushing the ECB's 2026 forecast to 2.6% and prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19. ECB President Lagarde signaled readiness for hikes if pressures persist, with economists and banks like Morgan Stanley now forecasting steady or higher rates through year-end amid subdued 0.9% GDP growth. Traders' 81% "No" consensus on a 2026 rate cut reflects this hawkish pivot from prior easing expectations, reinforced by money markets pricing two-to-three increases, though data-dependent decisions loom at upcoming meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,823結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, driven by soaring energy costs from the Iran conflict, pushing the ECB's 2026 forecast to 2.6% and prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate steady at 2% on March 19. ECB President Lagarde signaled readiness for hikes if pressures persist, with economists and banks like Morgan Stanley now forecasting steady or higher rates through year-end amid subdued 0.9% GDP growth. Traders' 81% "No" consensus on a 2026 rate cut reflects this hawkish pivot from prior easing expectations, reinforced by money markets pricing two-to-three increases, though data-dependent decisions loom at upcoming meetings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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